TT Lossbeater/WTT Champions Montpellier Women
WTT Champions Montpellier WomenMatch #12355043
Played Aug 4Finished
I-Ching Cheng
Home
1.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119116911113––
Elizabeta Samara
Away
4.33
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:19 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeI-Ching Cheng to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingI-Ching Cheng above · Elizabeta Samara below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 71 set 4, 11-3 — our read held I-Ching Cheng at 76.6%
71 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:19What took a side2 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Cheng
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Cheng 40% vs Samara 20%
Cheng
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cheng 40% vs Samara 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cheng -1 · Samara -4
Samara
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Cheng) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cheng form (40%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCheng 1.20 / Samara 4.33
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Cheng)-0.0pp
WTT Champions Montpellier Women · #12355043
Cheng1.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
Samara4.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricChengSamaraBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 10 vs 5 / 1040%50%4 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChengCheng 1.20/Samara 4.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.3%
Cheng · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Cheng won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
I. Cheng10
LAug 13 · 17:45X. Shi1.30111158113I. Cheng3.4067111122WAug 11 · 17:10I. Cheng1.22411117113Y. Liu4.0011161182LAug 7 · 04:35Y. Wang1.06141111113I. Cheng8.00168581WAug 5 · 08:30I. Cheng1.1611119113E. Samara4.02961131LJul 1 · 03:20H. Hashimoto1.131311123I. Cheng5.50116100WJun 29 · 01:35J. Lai8.5010560I. Cheng1.051211113LJun 20 · 10:45I. Cheng5.5011271162Y. Zhu1.13911117113WJun 19 · 16:45I. Cheng1.7011116113S. Polcanova1.98941161LApr 1 · 10:10I. Cheng1.360H. Goda3.003LMar 13 · 03:00I. Cheng3.751131491S. Odo1.2591116113
E. Samara10
LAug 13 · 17:45A. Kaufmann1.5011117113E. Samara2.50671171WAug 10 · 17:10A. Dragoman2.10111188122E. Samara1.67451111143LAug 5 · 08:30I. Cheng1.1611119113E. Samara4.02961131LJun 29 · 02:10E. Samara6.00101171492X. Shi1.111281112113LJun 18 · 04:00E. Samara2.637111371S. Polcanova1.4411915113LJun 4 · 08:00E. Samara3.00582291A. Diaz1.36111120113LMay 23 · 09:00E. Samara5.006820C. Joo1.141111113WMay 22 · 10:45E. Samara1.20914314133F. Schreiner4.3311121112112WMay 21 · 16:10E. Samara1.171112113N. Mani4.5081050LMay 9 · 11:30Y. Sun1.011111113E. Samara15.003450
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