TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women
WTT Europe Smash Sweden WomenMatch #12390177
Played Aug 10Finished
Andreea Dragoman
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1141158118111214
Elizabeta Samara
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:18 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeElizabeta Samara to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndreea Dragoman above · Elizabeta Samara below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 12-14
Point 95 set 5, 12-14 — our read held Elizabeta Samara at 57.7%
95 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:18What took a side2 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Samara
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Dragoman 40% vs Samara 0%
Dragoman
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dragoman 60% vs Samara 30%
Dragoman
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dragoman -2 · Samara -5
Samara
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Samara) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Samara form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDragoman 2.10 / Samara 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Samara)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women · #12390177
Dragoman2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Samara1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricDragomanSamaraBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 3 / 1060%30%6 / 10 vs 3 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.11.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SamaraDragoman 2.10/Samara 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Samara · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Samara won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Dragoman10
LJun 28 · 19:35A. Dragoman2.38118581X. Shan1.5381111113LJun 19 · 10:10A. Dragoman2.8412990B. Takahashi1.351411113WJun 18 · 16:10Y. Ghorpade1.83611111092A. Dragoman1.83116512113WJun 18 · 04:00Y. Ghorpade1.83611111092A. Dragoman1.83116512113LMay 9 · 12:10M. Kuai1.021211123A. Dragoman10.50106100WMay 8 · 17:00C. Lutz2.00671161A. Dragoman1.7311116113WMay 6 · 18:10A. Dragoman1.831711611113D. Meshref1.8319611982LMay 6 · 16:35A. Dragoman2.6311541122H. Goda1.44811116113WMay 4 · 19:30A. Dragoman1.061111113T. Helle8.003340WMay 3 · 16:26A. Dragoman2.7512719133Y. Yeh1.40101117111
E. Samara10
LAug 13 · 17:45A. Kaufmann1.5011117113E. Samara2.50671171LAug 5 · 08:30I. Cheng1.1611119113E. Samara4.02961131LAug 4 · 02:00I. Cheng1.2011119113E. Samara4.33961131LJun 29 · 02:10E. Samara6.00101171492X. Shi1.111281112113LJun 18 · 04:00E. Samara2.637111371S. Polcanova1.4411915113LJun 4 · 08:00E. Samara3.00582291A. Diaz1.36111120113LMay 23 · 09:00E. Samara5.006820C. Joo1.141111113WMay 22 · 10:45E. Samara1.20914314133F. Schreiner4.3311121112112WMay 21 · 16:10E. Samara1.171112113N. Mani4.5081050LMay 9 · 11:30Y. Sun1.011111113E. Samara15.003450
Upcoming Matches
A. Dragoman
Nothing scheduled
E. Samara
Event Chatroom
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