TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women
WTT Europe Smash Sweden WomenMatch #12408479
Played Aug 13Finished
Xunyao Shi
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116117511811112
I-Ching Cheng
Away
3.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeI-Ching Cheng to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingXunyao Shi above · I-Ching Cheng below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 10-2
Point 82 set 5, 10-2 — our read held I-Ching Cheng at 54.0%
82 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Xunyao Shi 1–0 I-Ching Cheng I-Ching Cheng has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:32What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Shi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Shi 40% vs Cheng 60%
Cheng
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shi 60% vs Cheng 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Shi +1 · Cheng +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Shi) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cheng form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShi 1.30 / Cheng 3.40
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Shi)-0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women · #12408479
Shi1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Cheng3.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
78%takes the first set · 7 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeShi1wins
AwayCheng0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderShi leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricShiChengS − CBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match46.037.0+9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShiChengBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 5 / 1060%50%6 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShiShi 1.30/Cheng 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.3%
Shi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Shi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 13 · 17:45X. Shi—111158113I. Cheng—67111122
X. Shi10
LAug 15 · 11:30Y. Wang1.33111111114X. Shi3.2559790WAug 14 · 12:05X. Shi1.4411611113M. Kihara2.63611441WAug 10 · 16:35X. Shi1.051111113M. Zhang8.505580LJul 1 · 20:10D. Meshref5.4411411113X. Shi1.10411991LJun 30 · 20:45D. Meshref6.0011411113X. Shi1.11411991WJun 29 · 02:10E. Samara6.00101171492X. Shi1.111281112113LJun 20 · 16:10X. Shi2.007850Y. Zhu1.731111113WJun 20 · 10:10S. Odo2.0091181172X. Shi1.73114119113WJun 19 · 20:05S. Zhu2.7511560X. Shi1.401311113LApr 11 · 09:00H. Sato2.751111113X. Shi1.405670
I. Cheng10
WAug 11 · 17:10I. Cheng1.22411117113Y. Liu4.0011161182LAug 7 · 04:35Y. Wang1.06141111113I. Cheng8.00168581WAug 5 · 08:30I. Cheng1.1611119113E. Samara4.02961131WAug 4 · 02:00I. Cheng1.2011119113E. Samara4.33961131LJul 1 · 03:20H. Hashimoto1.131311123I. Cheng5.50116100WJun 29 · 01:35J. Lai8.5010560I. Cheng1.051211113LJun 20 · 10:45I. Cheng5.5011271162Y. Zhu1.13911117113WJun 19 · 16:45I. Cheng1.7011116113S. Polcanova1.98941161LApr 1 · 10:10I. Cheng1.360H. Goda3.003LMar 13 · 03:00I. Cheng3.751131491S. Odo1.2591116113
Upcoming Matches
X. Shi
Nothing scheduled
I. Cheng
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