TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women
WTT Europe Smash Sweden WomenMatch #12395456
Played Aug 11Finished
I-Ching Cheng
Home
1.22
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
411111116711118
Yangzi Liu
Away
4.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:53 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeI-Ching Cheng to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingI-Ching Cheng above · Yangzi Liu below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-1
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 81 set 5, 11-8 — our read held I-Ching Cheng at 76.6%
81 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:53What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Cheng
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Cheng 60% vs Liu 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cheng 50% vs Liu 80%
Liu
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cheng -1 · Liu -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Cheng)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Liu form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCheng 1.22 / Liu 4.00
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Cheng)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women · #12395456
Cheng1.22
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
89%takes the first set · 8 of 9
Liu4.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricChengLiuBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 7 / 1050%70%5 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChengCheng 1.22/Liu 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Cheng · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Cheng won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
I. Cheng10
LAug 13 · 17:45X. Shi1.30111158113I. Cheng3.4067111122LAug 7 · 04:35Y. Wang1.06141111113I. Cheng8.00168581WAug 5 · 08:30I. Cheng1.1611119113E. Samara4.02961131WAug 4 · 02:00I. Cheng1.2011119113E. Samara4.33961131LJul 1 · 03:20H. Hashimoto1.131311123I. Cheng5.50116100WJun 29 · 01:35J. Lai8.5010560I. Cheng1.051211113LJun 20 · 10:45I. Cheng5.5011271162Y. Zhu1.13911117113WJun 19 · 16:45I. Cheng1.7011116113S. Polcanova1.98941161LApr 1 · 10:10I. Cheng1.360H. Goda3.003LMar 13 · 03:00I. Cheng3.751131491S. Odo1.2591116113
Y. Liu10
LAug 4 · 02:00Y. Liu2.209650Y. Yeh1.611111113LJun 30 · 01:00Y. Sun1.011111113Y. Liu12.009360WMay 1 · 20:30Y. Liu1.3011119113H. Arapovic3.40351131WMay 1 · 18:30Y. Liu1.403131111113L. Rakovac2.7511151452LMay 1 · 12:50Y. Liu1.709590A. Hursey2.001111113WMay 1 · 11:31Y. Liu—1111113C. Carey—7520WApr 29 · 20:55F. Bello—2460Y. Liu—1111113WApr 29 · 19:52F. Bello9.002460Y. Liu1.041111113WApr 29 · 19:05H. Udoaka—3660Y. Liu—1111113WApr 28 · 17:00Y. Liu—1111113A. Erkebaeva—4460
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