TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women
WTT Europe Smash Sweden WomenMatch #12393043
Played Aug 11Finished
Jia Nan Yuan
Home
7.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9115111214––––
Hina Hayata
Away
1.08
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:04 and never touched — 66.7% is still 66.7%
Graded at full timeHina Hayata to win
66.7%
66.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJia Nan Yuan above · Hina Hayata below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Point 62 set 3, 12-14 — our read held Hina Hayata at 66.7%
62 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:04What took a side3 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.08 (87%)
Hayata
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Yuan 20% vs Hayata 80%
Hayata
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yuan 50% vs Hayata 90%
Hayata
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Yuan -4 · Hayata -1
Yuan
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Hayata) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hayata form (80%) is below what odds imply (92%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYuan 7.00 / Hayata 1.08
Signal prob.13% / 87%
Edge (Hayata)-0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women · #12393043
Yuan7.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Hayata1.08
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricYuanHayataBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 9 / 1050%90%5 / 10 vs 9 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.02.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HayataYuan 7.00/Hayata 1.08
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
86.6%
Hayata · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hayata won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Yuan10
LAug 4 · 02:00J. Yuan1.575990M. Pesotska2.251111113LJun 30 · 03:20L. Zhang2.5011611113J. Yuan1.50311791LJun 18 · 04:00Y. Yoo2.251011118113J. Yuan1.5712781192LJun 5 · 17:15J. Yuan2.75651171S. Yokoi1.4011116113WJun 4 · 18:25J. Yuan3.00119114113S. Shibata1.3641181152LMay 8 · 17:30J. Yuan2.381264121B. Szocs1.53101111143WMay 8 · 16:00J. Yuan1.22713118113A. Diaconu4.00111181152WMay 6 · 18:30J. Yuan1.2011116113G. Monfardini4.33951171WMay 5 · 16:55J. Yuan—1111113F. Doutaz—7230WMay 3 · 12:02J. Yuan1.10911911123T. Ho6.50117115102
H. Hayata10
LSep 6 · 08:15H. Hayata1.339117181M. Hirano3.251191111114WSep 5 · 11:00H. Hayata1.1311511113A. Diaz5.50811421WSep 5 · 06:10H. Hayata1.061111113E. Abraamian8.009660WSep 4 · 11:00H. Hayata1.021211113T. Chien10.5010960WSep 3 · 05:00H. Hayata1.021111113Y. Li10.507760LAug 15 · 18:30M. Kuai1.36711111133H. Hayata3.0011536112WAug 14 · 10:35Y. Shin4.00116911102H. Hayata1.22611116123WAug 13 · 12:20T. Su8.00891291H. Hayata1.06111110113LAug 8 · 10:15H. Hayata2.207841261M. Kuai1.6111111110114WAug 7 · 09:30H. Hayata1.0711117113Y. Yeh7.50331121
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