TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women
WTT Europe Smash Sweden WomenMatch #12425179
Played Aug 14Finished
Yubin Shin
Home
4.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1166119111161012
Hina Hayata
Away
1.22
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeHina Hayata to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYubin Shin above · Hina Hayata below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 93 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Hina Hayata at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Yubin Shin 0–1 Hina Hayata Yubin Shin has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:08What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Hayata
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Shin 80% vs Hayata 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shin 70% vs Hayata 90%
Hayata
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shin +2 · Hayata +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Hayata) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShin 4.00 / Hayata 1.22
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Hayata)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women · #12425179
Shin4.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Hayata1.22
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeShin0wins
AwayHayata1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderHayata leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricShinHayataS − HBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match47.046.0+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShinHayataBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 9 / 1070%90%7 / 10 vs 9 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.22.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HayataShin 4.00/Hayata 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Hayata · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hayata won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 14 · 10:35Y. Shin—116911102H. Hayata—611116123
Y. Shin10
WAug 13 · 17:10Y. Shin1.031111113G. Piccolin10.009840WAug 11 · 12:20Y. Shin1.021111113N. Baasan11.007780LAug 8 · 09:30M. Harimoto1.1311111111114Y. Shin5.505313851WAug 7 · 04:10S. Akula4.2026111152Y. Shin1.17111187113WAug 6 · 05:00S. Akula4.5026111152Y. Shin1.17111187113WAug 4 · 02:00A. Wang10.004840Y. Shin1.031111113LJul 2 · 21:20M. Kuai1.401111133Y. Shin2.7588110WJun 30 · 21:20N. Kim3.254260Y. Shin1.331111113WJun 28 · 20:10C. Lutz6.5011860Y. Shin1.101311113LJun 21 · 09:00Y. Shin3.0081070Y. Zhu1.331112113
H. Hayata10
LSep 6 · 08:15H. Hayata1.339117181M. Hirano3.251191111114WSep 5 · 11:00H. Hayata1.1311511113A. Diaz5.50811421WSep 5 · 06:10H. Hayata1.061111113E. Abraamian8.009660WSep 4 · 11:00H. Hayata1.021211113T. Chien10.5010960WSep 3 · 05:00H. Hayata1.021111113Y. Li10.507760LAug 15 · 18:30M. Kuai1.36711111133H. Hayata3.0011536112WAug 13 · 12:20T. Su8.00891291H. Hayata1.06111110113WAug 11 · 16:35J. Yuan7.0095120H. Hayata1.081111143LAug 8 · 10:15H. Hayata2.207841261M. Kuai1.6111111110114WAug 7 · 09:30H. Hayata1.0711117113Y. Yeh7.50331121
Upcoming Matches
Y. Shin
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H. Hayata
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