TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty Women
WTT Contender Almaty WomenMatch #13082678
Played Sep 6Finished
Hina Hayata
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 4
Set by set
911119711111811
Miu Hirano
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiu Hirano to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingHina Hayata above · Miu Hirano below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 1-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 89 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Miu Hirano at 54.0%
89 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:59What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Hayata
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Hayata 80% vs Hirano 100%
Hirano
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hayata 80% vs Hirano 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hayata +4 · Hirano +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Hayata) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hirano form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHayata 1.33 / Hirano 3.25
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Hayata)-0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty Women · #13082678
Hayata1.33
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Hirano3.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHayataHiranoBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 10 vs 7 / 1080%70%8 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.72.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HayataHayata 1.33/Hirano 3.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.9%
Hayata · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–4
Hirano won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
H. Hayata10
WSep 5 · 11:00H. Hayata1.1311511113A. Diaz5.50811421WSep 5 · 06:10H. Hayata1.061111113E. Abraamian8.009660WSep 4 · 11:00H. Hayata1.021211113T. Chien10.5010960WSep 3 · 05:00H. Hayata1.021111113Y. Li10.507760LAug 15 · 18:30M. Kuai1.36711111133H. Hayata3.0011536112WAug 14 · 10:35Y. Shin4.00116911102H. Hayata1.22611116123WAug 13 · 12:20T. Su8.00891291H. Hayata1.06111110113WAug 11 · 16:35J. Yuan7.0095120H. Hayata1.081111143LAug 8 · 10:15H. Hayata2.207841261M. Kuai1.6111111110114WAug 7 · 09:30H. Hayata1.0711117113Y. Yeh7.50331121
M. Hirano10
WSep 5 · 12:10M. Hirano1.8341111113M. Nagasaki1.83118671WSep 5 · 05:00M. Hirano1.101111113V. Voronina6.508630WSep 4 · 13:10M. Hirano1.0811119113H. Yang7.00581181WSep 3 · 10:50M. Hirano1.041111113O. Vishnyakova7.201980WSep 3 · 06:10M. Hirano1.041111113O. Vishnyakova9.001980LAug 28 · 12:30Y. Namba—111162M. Hirano—94111WAug 28 · 11:50E. Taguchi—91171M. Hirano—115112LJun 19 · 16:35M. Hirano1.55411681S. Winter2.2011911113WJun 18 · 04:00M. Hirano1.101111113L. Rakovac6.506390LJun 13 · 09:00S. Odo1.221111113M. Hirano4.007740
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