TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty Women
WTT Contender Almaty WomenMatch #13077951
Played Sep 5Finished
Hina Hayata
Home
1.06
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116116––––
Elizabet Abraamian
Away
8.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:19 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeHina Hayata to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingHina Hayata above · Elizabet Abraamian below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 54 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Hina Hayata at 55.3%
54 points played in total.
H2H Hina Hayata 1–0 Elizabet Abraamian Elizabet Abraamian has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:19What took a side3 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.06 (88%)
Hayata
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Hayata 80% vs Abraamian 60%
Hayata
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hayata 80% vs Abraamian 60%
Hayata
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hayata +2 · Abraamian +3
Abraamian
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Hayata) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Abraamian form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (13%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHayata 1.06 / Abraamian 8.00
Signal prob.88% / 12%
Edge (Hayata)+0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty Women · #13077951
Hayata1.06
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Abraamian8.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHayata1wins
AwayAbraamian0wins
Hayata leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHayataAbraamianH − ABasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.021.0+12.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHayataAbraamianBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 5 vs 6 / 1080%60%4 / 5 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.61.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HayataHayata 1.06/Abraamian 8.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
88.3%
Hayata · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hayata won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 5 · 06:10H. Hayata—1111113E. Abraamian—9660
H. Hayata10
LSep 6 · 08:15H. Hayata1.339117181M. Hirano3.251191111114WSep 5 · 11:00H. Hayata1.1311511113A. Diaz5.50811421WSep 4 · 11:00H. Hayata1.021211113T. Chien10.5010960WSep 3 · 05:00H. Hayata1.021111113Y. Li10.507760LAug 15 · 18:30M. Kuai1.36711111133H. Hayata3.0011536112WAug 14 · 10:35Y. Shin4.00116911102H. Hayata1.22611116123WAug 13 · 12:20T. Su8.00891291H. Hayata1.06111110113WAug 11 · 16:35J. Yuan7.0095120H. Hayata1.081111143LAug 8 · 10:15H. Hayata2.207841261M. Kuai1.6111111110114WAug 7 · 09:30H. Hayata1.0711117113Y. Yeh7.50331121
E. Abraamian10
WSep 4 · 06:45C. Kallberg2.63514981E. Abraamian1.44111211113WSep 3 · 13:20Z. Akasheva—146971E. Abraamian—121111113WSep 3 · 05:00Z. Akasheva5.00146971E. Abraamian1.14121111113LAug 30 · 17:45V. Voronina—119112E. Abraamian—81171LAug 30 · 17:15B. Zhang—911112E. Abraamian—11771WAug 29 · 15:40E. Abraamian—117112D. Madarasz—71161WAug 29 · 14:30E. Abraamian—411112N. Dohoczki—11621LAug 28 · 18:00A. Diaconu—911122E. Abraamian—116101WAug 28 · 17:20P. Vega—91171E. Abraamian—116112LAug 11 · 17:45E. Abraamian3.501148111M. Nagasaki1.2891111133
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