TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women
WTT Europe Smash Sweden WomenMatch #12395457
Played Aug 11Finished
Elizabet Abraamian
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1194118111113––
Miyu Nagasaki
Away
1.29
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:52 and never touched — 70.9% is still 70.9%
Graded at full timeMiyu Nagasaki to win
70.9%
70.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingElizabet Abraamian above · Miyu Nagasaki below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 78 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Miyu Nagasaki at 70.9%
78 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:52What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Nagasaki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Abraamian 60% vs Nagasaki 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Abraamian 70% vs Nagasaki 50%
Abraamian
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Abraamian -1 · Nagasaki -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Nagasaki) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nagasaki form (60%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAbraamian 3.50 / Nagasaki 1.28
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Nagasaki)-0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women · #12395457
Abraamian3.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Nagasaki1.28
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricAbraamianNagasakiBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 5 / 1070%50%7 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.41.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NagasakiAbraamian 3.50/Nagasaki 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.1%
Nagasaki · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Nagasaki won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
E. Abraamian10
LSep 5 · 06:10H. Hayata1.061111113E. Abraamian8.009660WSep 4 · 06:45C. Kallberg2.63514981E. Abraamian1.44111211113WSep 3 · 13:20Z. Akasheva—146971E. Abraamian—121111113WSep 3 · 05:00Z. Akasheva5.00146971E. Abraamian1.14121111113LAug 30 · 17:45V. Voronina—119112E. Abraamian—81171LAug 30 · 17:15B. Zhang—911112E. Abraamian—11771WAug 29 · 15:40E. Abraamian—117112D. Madarasz—71161WAug 29 · 14:30E. Abraamian—411112N. Dohoczki—11621LAug 28 · 18:00A. Diaconu—911122E. Abraamian—116101WAug 28 · 17:20P. Vega—91171E. Abraamian—116112
M. Nagasaki10
LSep 5 · 12:10M. Hirano1.8341111113M. Nagasaki1.83118671WSep 5 · 06:00K. Akae2.25681111102M. Nagasaki1.57111149123WSep 4 · 05:35Y. Ghorpade5.008911131M. Nagasaki1.1411118153WSep 3 · 05:00S. Mukherjee6.5091030M. Nagasaki1.101112113LAug 14 · 16:35Y. Peng3.5091111103M. Nagasaki1.28118961WAug 13 · 18:20M. Nagasaki1.731111103S. Winter2.007730LJul 26 · 18:00H. Sato1.611111113M. Nagasaki2.209670WJul 25 · 21:10M. Nagasaki2.101111113S. Odo1.654850WJul 25 · 15:45M. Nagasaki1.071151211113L. Zhang7.0011114652WJul 24 · 15:10M. Nagasaki1.0181111113G. Takahashi11.50117251
Upcoming Matches
E. Abraamian
M. Nagasaki
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.