TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women
WTT Europe Smash Sweden WomenMatch #12408487
Played Aug 13Finished
Miyu Nagasaki
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117103––––
Sabine Winter
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:32 and never touched — 57.2% is still 57.2%
Graded at full timeMiyu Nagasaki to win
57.2%
57.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiyu Nagasaki above · Sabine Winter below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 10-3
Point 49 set 3, 10-3 — our read held Miyu Nagasaki at 57.2%
49 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:32What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Nagasaki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Nagasaki 80% vs Winter 40%
Nagasaki
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nagasaki 60% vs Winter 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Nagasaki +1 · Winter +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Nagasaki) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nagasaki form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNagasaki 1.73 / Winter 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Nagasaki)+0.3pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women · #12408487
Nagasaki1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Winter2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricNagasakiWinterBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 7 / 1060%70%6 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.02.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NagasakiNagasaki 1.73/Winter 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Nagasaki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Nagasaki won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Nagasaki10
LSep 5 · 12:10M. Hirano1.8341111113M. Nagasaki1.83118671WSep 5 · 06:00K. Akae2.25681111102M. Nagasaki1.57111149123WSep 4 · 05:35Y. Ghorpade5.008911131M. Nagasaki1.1411118153WSep 3 · 05:00S. Mukherjee6.5091030M. Nagasaki1.101112113LAug 14 · 16:35Y. Peng3.5091111103M. Nagasaki1.28118961WAug 11 · 17:45E. Abraamian3.501148111M. Nagasaki1.2891111133LJul 26 · 18:00H. Sato1.611111113M. Nagasaki2.209670WJul 25 · 21:10M. Nagasaki2.101111113S. Odo1.654850WJul 25 · 15:45M. Nagasaki1.071151211113L. Zhang7.0011114652WJul 24 · 15:10M. Nagasaki1.0181111113G. Takahashi11.50117251
S. Winter10
WAug 10 · 18:20B. Takahashi4.00119101152S. Winter1.22611127113LJun 29 · 19:35S. Winter1.118111091Y. Qin6.0011612113LJun 20 · 09:00A. Diaz2.051111113S. Winter1.667410WJun 19 · 16:35M. Hirano1.55411681S. Winter2.2011911113LMay 9 · 09:35H. Hayata1.251061111113S. Winter3.7512115962WMay 7 · 17:45S. Winter1.131111113W. Ng5.501560WMay 7 · 16:00S. Winter1.141081111113H. Doo5.0012118942WMay 6 · 20:15S. Pyon3.959740S. Winter1.201111113WMay 6 · 19:00S. Pyon4.009740S. Winter1.221111113WMay 4 · 18:25S. Winter1.081111113K. Lyne7.002670
Upcoming Matches
M. Nagasaki
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S. Winter
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