TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women
WTT Europe Smash Sweden WomenMatch #12425837
Played Aug 14Finished
Yu-Han Peng
Home
3.50
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911118119106––
Miyu Nagasaki
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYu-Han Peng to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYu-Han Peng above · Miyu Nagasaki below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 76 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Yu-Han Peng at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:11What took a side2 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Nagasaki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Peng 100% vs Nagasaki 80%
Peng
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Peng 80% vs Nagasaki 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Peng +5 · Nagasaki +2
Peng
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Nagasaki) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Peng form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPeng 3.50 / Nagasaki 1.28
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Nagasaki)-0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women · #12425837
Peng3.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Nagasaki1.28
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPengNagasakiBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 10 vs 7 / 1080%70%8 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.62.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NagasakiPeng 3.50/Nagasaki 1.28
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.1%
Nagasaki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Peng won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
Y. Peng10
LAug 15 · 10:00M. Wang1.0412111115114Y. Peng9.0014461361WAug 13 · 16:35H. Hashimoto1.06951191Y. Peng8.0011118113WAug 11 · 10:35P. Pavade1.44812119142Y. Peng2.631110411163WAug 9 · 16:10X. Ni1.71117651Y. Peng1.9891111113WAug 9 · 11:30L. Rakovac3.49810111162Y. Peng1.24111274113WAug 9 · 09:10L. Rakovac3.75810111162Y. Peng1.25111274113WAug 8 · 09:20A. Svensson8.505350Y. Peng1.051111113LJun 28 · 20:10Y. Peng2.50118100A. Hursey1.501311123WJun 28 · 03:35T. Chien1.61111291062Y. Peng2.207101112113WJun 27 · 18:45F. Bergand3.70111461192Y. Peng1.251312119113
M. Nagasaki10
LSep 5 · 12:10M. Hirano1.8341111113M. Nagasaki1.83118671WSep 5 · 06:00K. Akae2.25681111102M. Nagasaki1.57111149123WSep 4 · 05:35Y. Ghorpade5.008911131M. Nagasaki1.1411118153WSep 3 · 05:00S. Mukherjee6.5091030M. Nagasaki1.101112113WAug 13 · 18:20M. Nagasaki1.731111103S. Winter2.007730WAug 11 · 17:45E. Abraamian3.501148111M. Nagasaki1.2891111133LJul 26 · 18:00H. Sato1.611111113M. Nagasaki2.209670WJul 25 · 21:10M. Nagasaki2.101111113S. Odo1.654850WJul 25 · 15:45M. Nagasaki1.071151211113L. Zhang7.0011114652WJul 24 · 15:10M. Nagasaki1.0181111113G. Takahashi11.50117251
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