TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women Quals
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women QualsMatch #12382556
Played Aug 9Finished
Lea Rakovac
Home
3.49
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111012117114611
Yu-Han Peng
Away
1.24
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:48 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeYu-Han Peng to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLea Rakovac above · Yu-Han Peng below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 5-10
Point 89 set 5, 5-10 — our read held Yu-Han Peng at 63.3%
89 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Lea Rakovac 0–2 Yu-Han Peng Lea Rakovac has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:48What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.24 (74%)
Peng
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Rakovac 20% vs Peng 80%
Peng
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rakovac 40% vs Peng 70%
Peng
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rakovac -1 · Peng +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Peng) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRakovac 3.49 / Peng 1.24
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Peng)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women Quals · #12382556
Rakovac3.49
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Peng1.24
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeRakovac0wins
AwayPeng2wins
2 of 2 to a deciderPeng leads 2–0, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away2
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricRakovacPengR − PBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match46.045.0+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRakovacPengBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 10 vs 7 / 1040%70%4 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.92.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PengRakovac 3.49/Peng 1.24
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.8%
Peng · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Peng won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 9 · 11:30L. Rakovac—810111162Y. Peng—111274113
LAug 9 · 09:10L. Rakovac—810111162Y. Peng—111274113
L. Rakovac10
LAug 21 · 08:00J. Neumann3.5061211113L. Rakovac1.281110821LAug 9 · 09:10L. Rakovac3.75810111162Y. Peng1.25111274113WAug 8 · 09:20E. Harac2.00118671L. Rakovac1.7381111113LJun 29 · 20:45L. Rakovac5.50661191B. Takahashi1.1311115113LJun 18 · 04:00M. Hirano1.101111113L. Rakovac6.506390LJun 10 · 23:00L. Rakovac3.40115101172J. Zeng1.30911128113LJun 3 · 14:35L. Rakovac4.00781181Y. Peng1.2211114113WJun 2 · 17:20L. Rakovac3.75111111113H. Choi1.25641381WJun 2 · 09:00L. Rakovac1.2011111011113N. Baasan4.3313812802LMay 12 · 15:45L. Rakovac1.67511851M. Panfilova2.1011811113
Y. Peng10
LAug 15 · 10:00M. Wang1.0412111115114Y. Peng9.0014461361WAug 14 · 16:35Y. Peng3.5091111103M. Nagasaki1.28118961WAug 13 · 16:35H. Hashimoto1.06951191Y. Peng8.0011118113WAug 11 · 10:35P. Pavade1.44812119142Y. Peng2.631110411163WAug 9 · 16:10X. Ni1.71117651Y. Peng1.9891111113WAug 9 · 09:10L. Rakovac3.75810111162Y. Peng1.25111274113WAug 8 · 09:20A. Svensson8.505350Y. Peng1.051111113LJun 28 · 20:10Y. Peng2.50118100A. Hursey1.501311123WJun 28 · 03:35T. Chien1.61111291062Y. Peng2.207101112113WJun 3 · 14:35L. Rakovac4.00781181Y. Peng1.2211114113
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