TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women Quals
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women QualsMatch #12380134
Played Aug 8Finished
Ece Harac
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118811611711––
Lea Rakovac
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLea Rakovac to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingEce Harac above · Lea Rakovac below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 73 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Lea Rakovac at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:52What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Rakovac
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Harac 40% vs Rakovac 20%
Harac
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Harac 50% vs Rakovac 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Harac -3 · Rakovac -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rakovac)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rakovac form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHarac 2.00 / Rakovac 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Rakovac)+0.3pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women Quals · #12380134
Harac2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Rakovac1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHaracRakovacBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 4 / 1050%40%5 / 10 vs 4 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RakovacHarac 2.00/Rakovac 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Rakovac · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Rakovac won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
E. Harac10
LJul 26 · 13:15E. Harac5.001110841Y. Ojio1.1491211113LJul 4 · 16:25A. Slautina2.4011711113E. Harac1.49611631LJul 4 · 15:15A. Slautina2.5011711113E. Harac1.50611631WJul 4 · 09:45V. Shcherbatykh1.8394110E. Harac1.831111133WJul 3 · 15:15E. Harac3.401111113Y. Huang1.307120LMay 13 · 09:45N. Bajor1.2511511113E. Harac3.75711581WMay 12 · 15:10A. Slautina1.83111011882E. Harac1.83812511113WMay 1 · 13:20H. Arapovic1.13117101272E. Harac5.507111210113LMay 1 · 12:45L. Rakovac1.731114114113E. Harac2.00612131102WApr 30 · 09:00C. Arguelles2.756460E. Harac1.401111113
L. Rakovac10
LAug 21 · 08:00J. Neumann3.5061211113L. Rakovac1.281110821LAug 9 · 11:30L. Rakovac3.49810111162Y. Peng1.24111274113LAug 9 · 09:10L. Rakovac3.75810111162Y. Peng1.25111274113LJun 29 · 20:45L. Rakovac5.50661191B. Takahashi1.1311115113LJun 18 · 04:00M. Hirano1.101111113L. Rakovac6.506390LJun 10 · 23:00L. Rakovac3.40115101172J. Zeng1.30911128113LJun 3 · 14:35L. Rakovac4.00781181Y. Peng1.2211114113WJun 2 · 17:20L. Rakovac3.75111111113H. Choi1.25641381WJun 2 · 09:00L. Rakovac1.2011111011113N. Baasan4.3313812802WMay 1 · 12:45L. Rakovac1.731114114113E. Harac2.00612131102
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