TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Brazil Women
WTT Star Contender Brazil WomenMatch #12297299
Played Jul 25Finished
Miyu Nagasaki
Home
1.07
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1115111214116115
Lily Zhang
Away
7.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:30 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiyu Nagasaki to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiyu Nagasaki above · Lily Zhang below
Set 1 · 11-1
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 87 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Miyu Nagasaki at 54.0%
87 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:30What took a side2 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.07 (87%)
Nagasaki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Nagasaki 60% vs Zhang 40%
Nagasaki
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nagasaki 50% vs Zhang 70%
Zhang
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nagasaki +1 · Zhang +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Nagasaki) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zhang form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (14%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNagasaki 1.07 / Zhang 7.00
Signal prob.87% / 13%
Edge (Nagasaki)-0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Brazil Women · #12297299
Nagasaki1.07
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Zhang7.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricNagasakiZhangBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 7 / 1050%70%5 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NagasakiNagasaki 1.07/Zhang 7.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
86.7%
Nagasaki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Nagasaki won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Nagasaki10
LSep 5 · 12:10M. Hirano1.8341111113M. Nagasaki1.83118671WSep 5 · 06:00K. Akae2.25681111102M. Nagasaki1.57111149123WSep 4 · 05:35Y. Ghorpade5.008911131M. Nagasaki1.1411118153WSep 3 · 05:00S. Mukherjee6.5091030M. Nagasaki1.101112113LAug 14 · 16:35Y. Peng3.5091111103M. Nagasaki1.28118961WAug 13 · 18:20M. Nagasaki1.731111103S. Winter2.007730WAug 11 · 17:45E. Abraamian3.501148111M. Nagasaki1.2891111133LJul 26 · 18:00H. Sato1.611111113M. Nagasaki2.209670WJul 25 · 21:10M. Nagasaki2.101111113S. Odo1.654850WJul 24 · 15:10M. Nagasaki1.0181111113G. Takahashi11.50117251
L. Zhang10
LAug 13 · 11:45L. Zhang4.5085100S. Odo1.171111123WAug 12 · 12:20L. Zhang2.501411113M. Batra1.5012760LAug 7 · 03:10S. Odo1.1111118113L. Zhang6.00571171WAug 6 · 04:55L. Zhang1.6711127113N. Bajor2.078101151WAug 4 · 02:00L. Zhang1.4411127113N. Bajor2.638101151WJul 24 · 22:20D. Vivarelli6.00128651L. Zhang1.11101111113LJun 30 · 19:35Y. Han1.131111113L. Zhang4.803820WJun 30 · 03:20L. Zhang2.5011611113J. Yuan1.50311791LJun 10 · 23:00L. Zhang9.00851171H. Sato1.0411115113LJun 4 · 08:00L. Zhang4.006650H. Goda1.221111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Nagasaki
Nothing scheduled
L. Zhang
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