TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women
WTT Europe Smash Sweden WomenMatch #12412058
Played Aug 13Finished
Lily Zhang
Home
4.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8115111012––––
Satsuki Odo
Away
1.17
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSatsuki Odo to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLily Zhang above · Satsuki Odo below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 10-11
Point 56 set 3, 10-11 — our read held Satsuki Odo at 54.0%
56 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:03What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Odo
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Zhang 60% vs Odo 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zhang 50% vs Odo 70%
Odo
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zhang +1 · Odo +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Odo) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Odo form (60%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZhang 4.50 / Odo 1.17
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Odo)-0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women · #12412058
Zhang4.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Odo1.17
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricZhangOdoBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 7 / 1050%70%5 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OdoZhang 4.50/Odo 1.17
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Odo · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Odo won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Zhang10
WAug 12 · 12:20L. Zhang2.501411113M. Batra1.5012760LAug 7 · 03:10S. Odo1.1111118113L. Zhang6.00571171WAug 6 · 04:55L. Zhang1.6711127113N. Bajor2.078101151WAug 4 · 02:00L. Zhang1.4411127113N. Bajor2.638101151LJul 25 · 15:45M. Nagasaki1.071151211113L. Zhang7.0011114652WJul 24 · 22:20D. Vivarelli6.00128651L. Zhang1.11101111113LJun 30 · 19:35Y. Han1.131111113L. Zhang4.803820WJun 30 · 03:20L. Zhang2.5011611113J. Yuan1.50311791LJun 10 · 23:00L. Zhang9.00851171H. Sato1.0411115113LJun 4 · 08:00L. Zhang4.006650H. Goda1.221111113
S. Odo10
LAug 14 · 11:20Y. Wang1.3051211113S. Odo3.401110661WAug 11 · 11:10F. Bergand10.50511471S. Odo1.0211711113LAug 8 · 03:30S. Odo3.2546770X. Chen1.33111111114WAug 7 · 03:10S. Odo1.1111118113L. Zhang6.00571171WAug 6 · 02:35S. Odo1.0512119113A. Hursey6.301071151WAug 4 · 02:00S. Odo1.0812119113A. Hursey7.001071151LJul 25 · 21:10M. Nagasaki2.101111113S. Odo1.654850WJul 25 · 14:00Y. Huang5.40117761S. Odo1.1071111113WJul 25 · 14:00H. Yu-Wen5.00117761S. Odo1.1471111103WJul 24 · 15:45V. Strassburger12.00361171S. Odo1.0111117113
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