TT Lossbeater/WTT Champions Montpellier Women
WTT Champions Montpellier WomenMatch #12356806
Played Aug 6Finished
Lily Zhang
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181210711115––
Natalia Bajor
Away
2.07
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeNatalia Bajor to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLily Zhang above · Natalia Bajor below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 75 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Natalia Bajor at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:15What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (55%)
Zhang
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Zhang 40% vs Bajor 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zhang 60% vs Bajor 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zhang -1 · Bajor -3
Bajor
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Zhang) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zhang form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZhang 1.67 / Bajor 2.07
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Zhang)-0.0pp
WTT Champions Montpellier Women · #12356806
Zhang1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Bajor2.07
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricZhangBajorBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 7 / 1060%70%6 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
ZhangZhang 1.67/Bajor 2.07
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.3%
Zhang · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zhang won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Zhang10
LAug 13 · 11:45L. Zhang4.5085100S. Odo1.171111123WAug 12 · 12:20L. Zhang2.501411113M. Batra1.5012760LAug 7 · 03:10S. Odo1.1111118113L. Zhang6.00571171WAug 4 · 02:00L. Zhang1.4411127113N. Bajor2.638101151LJul 25 · 15:45M. Nagasaki1.071151211113L. Zhang7.0011114652WJul 24 · 22:20D. Vivarelli6.00128651L. Zhang1.11101111113LJun 30 · 19:35Y. Han1.131111113L. Zhang4.803820WJun 30 · 03:20L. Zhang2.5011611113J. Yuan1.50311791LJun 10 · 23:00L. Zhang9.00851171H. Sato1.0411115113LJun 4 · 08:00L. Zhang4.006650H. Goda1.221111113
N. Bajor10
LAug 27 · 16:15N. Bajor1.53118121152M. Loy2.38411144113WAug 27 · 09:45N. Bajor1.3311614113Z. Wielgos3.257111271WAug 26 · 15:40N. Bajor1.041111113K. Mischek6.698280LAug 22 · 10:45S. Sawettabut2.2011711123N. Bajor1.618117101WAug 21 · 15:05C. Lai—4540N. Bajor—1111113WAug 21 · 08:00C. Lai4.334540N. Bajor1.201111113LAug 10 · 17:10Y. Han1.13101111113N. Bajor5.50123381LAug 4 · 02:00L. Zhang1.4411127113N. Bajor2.638101151LJun 29 · 01:00J. Zeng1.7311611113N. Bajor2.00711891LJun 18 · 04:00M. Kihara1.141111113N. Bajor5.007650
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