TT Lossbeater/WTT Feeder Olomouc Women
WTT Feeder Olomouc WomenMatch #13029639
Played Aug 27Finished
Natalia Bajor
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1148111214114511
Ming Ying Loy
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:30 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeNatalia Bajor to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingNatalia Bajor above · Ming Ying Loy below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 5-10
Point 90 set 5, 5-10 — our read held Natalia Bajor at 54.0%
90 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Natalia Bajor 0–1 Ming Ying Loy Natalia Bajor has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:30What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Bajor
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Bajor 80% vs Loy 60%
Bajor
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bajor 40% vs Loy 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bajor +2 · Loy +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Bajor) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Loy form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBajor 1.53 / Loy 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Bajor)+0.0pp
WTT Feeder Olomouc Women · #13029639
Bajor1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Loy2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBajor0wins
AwayLoy1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderLoy leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBajorLoyB − LBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match47.044.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBajorLoyBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 10 vs 5 / 1040%50%4 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.72.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BajorBajor 1.53/Loy 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Bajor · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Loy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 27 · 16:15N. Bajor—118121152M. Loy—411144113
N. Bajor10
WAug 27 · 09:45N. Bajor1.3311614113Z. Wielgos3.257111271WAug 26 · 15:40N. Bajor1.041111113K. Mischek6.698280LAug 22 · 10:45S. Sawettabut2.2011711123N. Bajor1.618117101WAug 21 · 15:05C. Lai—4540N. Bajor—1111113WAug 21 · 08:00C. Lai4.334540N. Bajor1.201111113LAug 10 · 17:10Y. Han1.13101111113N. Bajor5.50123381LAug 6 · 04:55L. Zhang1.6711127113N. Bajor2.078101151LAug 4 · 02:00L. Zhang1.4411127113N. Bajor2.638101151LJun 29 · 01:00J. Zeng1.7311611113N. Bajor2.00711891LJun 18 · 04:00M. Kihara1.141111113N. Bajor5.007650
M. Loy10
LAug 28 · 08:00M. Loy3.7510511111R. Mende1.2512119133WAug 27 · 09:10M. Loy1.1711115113M. Stoffregen4.50161151WAug 26 · 15:05M. Loy1.0811119113N. Gajewska5.40691131LAug 22 · 10:10M. Loy3.40711681R. Mende1.3011911113WAug 21 · 08:00M. Zhang1.571210141162M. Loy2.251412123113LAug 8 · 18:50M. Loy1.9111116852S. Das1.80581111113WMay 6 · 12:45M. Loy1.601111113H. Yang2.153790WApr 30 · 13:20R. Nagy6.0010340M. Loy1.081211113LFeb 23 · 06:20M. Loy2.75811871E. Samara1.4011911113LJan 29 · 14:10M. Loy3.40118351Y. Yeh1.3031111113
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