TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Brazil Women
WTT Star Contender Brazil WomenMatch #12294619
Played Jul 24Finished
Debora Vivarelli
Home
6.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210811611511––
Lily Zhang
Away
1.11
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:40 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLily Zhang to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDebora Vivarelli above · Lily Zhang below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 74 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Lily Zhang at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:40What took a side1 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.11 (84%)
Zhang
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Vivarelli 40% vs Zhang 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vivarelli 50% vs Zhang 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vivarelli +1 · Zhang -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Zhang) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zhang form (40%) is below what odds imply (90%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVivarelli 6.00 / Zhang 1.11
Signal prob.16% / 84%
Edge (Zhang)+0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Brazil Women · #12294619
Vivarelli6.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Zhang1.11
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricVivarelliZhangBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 6 / 1050%60%5 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZhangVivarelli 6.00/Zhang 1.11
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
84.4%
Zhang · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zhang won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Vivarelli10
LSep 4 · 06:10K. Akae1.0611811113D. Vivarelli8.00711441WSep 3 · 06:45D. Vivarelli—1181110113A. Romanovskaya—31131242WSep 3 · 06:45D. Vivarelli1.201181110113A. Romanovskaya4.3331131242WSep 2 · 11:35D. Vivarelli1.03111111113A. Tsvigun10.00813641WSep 1 · 11:00D. Vivarelli—111011113M. Elmurodova—512511LAug 8 · 12:15E. Zaharia1.4051113113D. Vivarelli2.751191151WJul 23 · 22:30D. Vivarelli—1111113M. Agnone—8760LJul 4 · 09:45S. Aoki1.14511711113D. Vivarelli5.0011611992WJul 3 · 08:10S. Saini2.001091112112D. Vivarelli1.731211910133LJun 9 · 08:00D. Vivarelli—9117151E. Kim—11911173
L. Zhang10
LAug 13 · 11:45L. Zhang4.5085100S. Odo1.171111123WAug 12 · 12:20L. Zhang2.501411113M. Batra1.5012760LAug 7 · 03:10S. Odo1.1111118113L. Zhang6.00571171WAug 6 · 04:55L. Zhang1.6711127113N. Bajor2.078101151WAug 4 · 02:00L. Zhang1.4411127113N. Bajor2.638101151LJul 25 · 15:45M. Nagasaki1.071151211113L. Zhang7.0011114652LJun 30 · 19:35Y. Han1.131111113L. Zhang4.803820WJun 30 · 03:20L. Zhang2.5011611113J. Yuan1.50311791LJun 10 · 23:00L. Zhang9.00851171H. Sato1.0411115113LJun 4 · 08:00L. Zhang4.006650H. Goda1.221111113
Upcoming Matches
D. Vivarelli
Nothing scheduled
L. Zhang
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