TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty Women
WTT Contender Almaty WomenMatch #13072228
Played Sep 4Finished
Kaho Akae
Home
1.06
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117811114114––
Debora Vivarelli
Away
8.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:54 and never touched — 55.2% is still 55.2%
Graded at full timeKaho Akae to win
55.2%
55.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKaho Akae above · Debora Vivarelli below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 67 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Kaho Akae at 55.2%
67 points played in total.
H2H Kaho Akae 1–0 Debora Vivarelli Debora Vivarelli has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:54What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.06 (88%)
Akae
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Akae 100% vs Vivarelli 80%
Akae
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Akae 90% vs Vivarelli 60%
Akae
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Akae +5 · Vivarelli +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Akae) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vivarelli form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (13%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAkae 1.06 / Vivarelli 8.00
Signal prob.88% / 12%
Edge (Akae)+0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty Women · #13072228
Akae1.06
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Vivarelli8.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeAkae1wins
AwayVivarelli0wins
Akae leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricAkaeVivarelliA − VBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match41.026.0+15.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAkaeVivarelliBasisWin rate · lifetime9 / 10 vs 6 / 1090%60%9 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.82.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AkaeAkae 1.06/Vivarelli 8.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
88.3%
Akae · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Akae won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 4 · 06:10K. Akae—11811113D. Vivarelli—711441
K. Akae10
LSep 5 · 06:00K. Akae2.25681111102M. Nagasaki1.57111149123WSep 3 · 06:45K. Akae—1211113Z. Koshkumbayeva—10760WSep 3 · 05:00K. Akae1.041211113Z. Koshkumbayeva9.0010760WAug 8 · 10:45K. Akae1.301111113D. Lee3.106950WAug 8 · 03:25K. Akae1.251111113J. Li3.757570WAug 7 · 10:20K. Akae1.25121212113Y. Lam3.4110141031WAug 7 · 05:45K. Akae1.17611611113Z. Lee4.5011511762WAug 6 · 04:10K. Akae1.041111113H. Kim9.005840LJul 25 · 20:00H. Hashimoto1.2511911123K. Akae3.758114101WJul 25 · 14:00K. Akae2.251113113S. Shibata1.5741140
D. Vivarelli10
WSep 3 · 06:45D. Vivarelli—1181110113A. Romanovskaya—31131242WSep 3 · 06:45D. Vivarelli1.201181110113A. Romanovskaya4.3331131242WSep 2 · 11:35D. Vivarelli1.03111111113A. Tsvigun10.00813641WSep 1 · 11:00D. Vivarelli—111011113M. Elmurodova—512511LAug 8 · 12:15E. Zaharia1.4051113113D. Vivarelli2.751191151LJul 24 · 22:20D. Vivarelli6.00128651L. Zhang1.11101111113WJul 23 · 22:30D. Vivarelli—1111113M. Agnone—8760LJul 4 · 09:45S. Aoki1.14511711113D. Vivarelli5.0011611992WJul 3 · 08:10S. Saini2.001091112112D. Vivarelli1.731211910133LJun 9 · 08:00D. Vivarelli—9117151E. Kim—11911173
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.