TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty Women
WTT Contender Almaty WomenMatch #13065968
Played Sep 3Finished
Debora Vivarelli
Home
1.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1138111131012114
Angelina Romanovskaya
Away
4.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:38 and never touched — 72.3% is still 72.3%
Graded at full timeDebora Vivarelli to win
72.3%
72.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDebora Vivarelli above · Angelina Romanovskaya below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 84 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Debora Vivarelli at 72.3%
84 points played in total.
H2H Debora Vivarelli 1–0 Angelina Romanovskaya Angelina Romanovskaya has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:38What took a side1 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Vivarelli
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Vivarelli 60% vs Romanovskaya 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vivarelli 50% vs Romanovskaya 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vivarelli +2 · Romanovskaya -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Vivarelli) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Romanovskaya form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVivarelli 1.20 / Romanovskaya 4.33
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Vivarelli)-0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty Women · #13065968
Vivarelli1.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Romanovskaya4.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVivarelli1wins
AwayRomanovskaya0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderVivarelli leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVivarelliRomanovskayaV − RBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match51.033.0+18.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVivarelliRomanovskayaBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 4 / 1050%40%5 / 10 vs 4 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VivarelliVivarelli 1.20/Romanovskaya 4.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.3%
Vivarelli · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vivarelli won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 3 · 06:45D. Vivarelli—1181110113A. Romanovskaya—31131242
D. Vivarelli10
LSep 4 · 06:10K. Akae1.0611811113D. Vivarelli8.00711441WSep 3 · 06:45D. Vivarelli—1181110113A. Romanovskaya—31131242WSep 2 · 11:35D. Vivarelli1.03111111113A. Tsvigun10.00813641WSep 1 · 11:00D. Vivarelli—111011113M. Elmurodova—512511LAug 8 · 12:15E. Zaharia1.4051113113D. Vivarelli2.751191151LJul 24 · 22:20D. Vivarelli6.00128651L. Zhang1.11101111113WJul 23 · 22:30D. Vivarelli—1111113M. Agnone—8760LJul 4 · 09:45S. Aoki1.14511711113D. Vivarelli5.0011611992WJul 3 · 08:10S. Saini2.001091112112D. Vivarelli1.731211910133LJun 9 · 08:00D. Vivarelli—9117151E. Kim—11911173
A. Romanovskaya10
LSep 3 · 06:45D. Vivarelli—1181110113A. Romanovskaya—31131242LJul 26 · 12:40A. Romanovskaya7.007770M. Taylakova1.081111113WJul 25 · 12:05A. Romanovskaya—1011118113K. Baravok—12971192WJul 25 · 04:35A. Romanovskaya—1111113M. Kamolova—4660WJul 24 · 11:40A. Romanovskaya—1111113P. Khabibullaeva—2110LJul 2 · 13:40A. Romanovskaya—111351082C. Moon—7111112113LJul 1 · 15:50O. Yilmaz—11111011123A. Romanovskaya—613128102LNov 12 · 17:15N. Bajor1.131111113A. Romanovskaya5.508920WNov 12 · 07:00A. Romanovskaya1.501111103A. Roose2.509770LSep 18 · 07:50A. Romanovskaya1.83113561P. Baisya1.8381111113
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