TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty Women
WTT Contender Almaty WomenMatch #13077755
Played Sep 5Finished
Kaho Akae
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6118111141191012
Miyu Nagasaki
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:19 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeMiyu Nagasaki to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKaho Akae above · Miyu Nagasaki below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 93 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Miyu Nagasaki at 55.8%
93 points played in total.
H2H Kaho Akae 0–1 Miyu Nagasaki Kaho Akae has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:19What took a side1 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Nagasaki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Akae 100% vs Nagasaki 80%
Akae
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Akae 90% vs Nagasaki 70%
Akae
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Akae +5 · Nagasaki +2
Akae
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Nagasaki) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nagasaki form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAkae 2.25 / Nagasaki 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Nagasaki)+0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty Women · #13077755
Akae2.25
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Nagasaki1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeAkae0wins
AwayNagasaki1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderNagasaki leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricAkaeNagasakiA − NBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match46.047.0−1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAkaeNagasakiBasisWin rate · lifetime9 / 10 vs 7 / 1090%70%9 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.82.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NagasakiAkae 2.25/Nagasaki 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Nagasaki · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Nagasaki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 5 · 06:00K. Akae—681111102M. Nagasaki—111149123
K. Akae10
WSep 4 · 06:10K. Akae1.0611811113D. Vivarelli8.00711441WSep 3 · 06:45K. Akae—1211113Z. Koshkumbayeva—10760WSep 3 · 05:00K. Akae1.041211113Z. Koshkumbayeva9.0010760WAug 8 · 10:45K. Akae1.301111113D. Lee3.106950WAug 8 · 03:25K. Akae1.251111113J. Li3.757570WAug 7 · 10:20K. Akae1.25121212113Y. Lam3.4110141031WAug 7 · 05:45K. Akae1.17611611113Z. Lee4.5011511762WAug 6 · 04:10K. Akae1.041111113H. Kim9.005840LJul 25 · 20:00H. Hashimoto1.2511911123K. Akae3.758114101WJul 25 · 14:00K. Akae2.251113113S. Shibata1.5741140
M. Nagasaki10
LSep 5 · 12:10M. Hirano1.8341111113M. Nagasaki1.83118671WSep 4 · 05:35Y. Ghorpade5.008911131M. Nagasaki1.1411118153WSep 3 · 05:00S. Mukherjee6.5091030M. Nagasaki1.101112113LAug 14 · 16:35Y. Peng3.5091111103M. Nagasaki1.28118961WAug 13 · 18:20M. Nagasaki1.731111103S. Winter2.007730WAug 11 · 17:45E. Abraamian3.501148111M. Nagasaki1.2891111133LJul 26 · 18:00H. Sato1.611111113M. Nagasaki2.209670WJul 25 · 21:10M. Nagasaki2.101111113S. Odo1.654850WJul 25 · 15:45M. Nagasaki1.071151211113L. Zhang7.0011114652WJul 24 · 15:10M. Nagasaki1.0181111113G. Takahashi11.50117251
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