TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Brazil Women
WTT Star Contender Brazil WomenMatch #12303133
Played Jul 26Finished
Hitomi Sato
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116117––––
Miyu Nagasaki
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:56 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeHitomi Sato to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingHitomi Sato above · Miyu Nagasaki below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 55 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Hitomi Sato at 57.7%
55 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:56What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Sato
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Sato 80% vs Nagasaki 60%
Sato
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sato 70% vs Nagasaki 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sato +3 · Nagasaki +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Sato)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nagasaki form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSato 1.61 / Nagasaki 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Sato)+0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Brazil Women · #12303133
Sato1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Nagasaki2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSatoNagasakiBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 6 / 1070%60%7 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.52.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SatoSato 1.61/Nagasaki 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Sato · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sato won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
H. Sato10
LJul 26 · 20:00H. Hayata1.30811411114H. Sato3.1511711972WJul 25 · 20:35S. Yokoi2.35611981H. Sato1.5311911113WJul 25 · 15:10S. Akula7.002680H. Sato1.081111113WJul 24 · 16:55C. Lutz7.506111451H. Sato1.07111312113LJul 5 · 02:30M. Kuai2.2551197124H. Sato1.571151111103WJul 2 · 20:10H. Hashimoto1.838690H. Sato1.831111113WJul 1 · 01:00H. Sato5.001211153M. Wang1.15104130WJun 29 · 01:00A. Diaz4.507750H. Sato1.171111113LJun 20 · 06:35S. Fan2.2011118123H. Sato1.607711101LJun 13 · 09:00M. Harimoto1.171111113H. Sato4.503310
M. Nagasaki10
LSep 5 · 12:10M. Hirano1.8341111113M. Nagasaki1.83118671WSep 5 · 06:00K. Akae2.25681111102M. Nagasaki1.57111149123WSep 4 · 05:35Y. Ghorpade5.008911131M. Nagasaki1.1411118153WSep 3 · 05:00S. Mukherjee6.5091030M. Nagasaki1.101112113LAug 14 · 16:35Y. Peng3.5091111103M. Nagasaki1.28118961WAug 13 · 18:20M. Nagasaki1.731111103S. Winter2.007730WAug 11 · 17:45E. Abraamian3.501148111M. Nagasaki1.2891111133WJul 25 · 21:10M. Nagasaki2.101111113S. Odo1.654850WJul 25 · 15:45M. Nagasaki1.071151211113L. Zhang7.0011114652WJul 24 · 15:10M. Nagasaki1.0181111113G. Takahashi11.50117251
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