TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Brazil Women
WTT Star Contender Brazil WomenMatch #12294627
Played Jul 24Finished
Charlotte Lutz
Home
7.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
61111131412511––
Hitomi Sato
Away
1.07
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:41 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeHitomi Sato to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingCharlotte Lutz above · Hitomi Sato below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 83 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Hitomi Sato at 62.5%
83 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:41What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.07 (88%)
Sato
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Lutz 20% vs Sato 60%
Sato
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lutz 40% vs Sato 60%
Sato
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lutz +1 · Sato -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Sato) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sato form (60%) is below what odds imply (93%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLutz 7.50 / Sato 1.07
Signal prob.13% / 88%
Edge (Sato)-0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Brazil Women · #12294627
Lutz7.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Sato1.07
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricLutzSatoBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 10 vs 6 / 1040%60%4 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.42.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SatoLutz 7.50/Sato 1.07
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
87.5%
Sato · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sato won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
C. Lutz10
LAug 10 · 17:45G. Piccolin2.20151181113C. Lutz1.61134111172WJul 23 · 14:35B. Kanashiro6.009740C. Lutz1.111111113LJun 28 · 20:10C. Lutz6.5011860Y. Shin1.101311113LJun 18 · 04:00C. Lutz3.406570S. Aoki1.301111113LJun 4 · 08:00C. Lutz3.40117361Y. Yeh1.3071111113LMay 23 · 13:28M. Xiao2.101111113C. Lutz1.676660LMay 8 · 17:00C. Lutz2.00671161A. Dragoman1.7311116113WMay 6 · 20:10C. Lutz1.111111113D. Vivarelli6.005870WMay 5 · 17:30C. Lutz1.181111113M. Wu4.154750WMay 3 · 12:55C. Lutz1.201111113T. Yu4.335830
H. Sato10
LJul 26 · 20:00H. Hayata1.30811411114H. Sato3.1511711972WJul 26 · 18:00H. Sato1.611111113M. Nagasaki2.209670WJul 25 · 20:35S. Yokoi2.35611981H. Sato1.5311911113WJul 25 · 15:10S. Akula7.002680H. Sato1.081111113LJul 5 · 02:30M. Kuai2.2551197124H. Sato1.571151111103WJul 2 · 20:10H. Hashimoto1.838690H. Sato1.831111113WJul 1 · 01:00H. Sato5.001211153M. Wang1.15104130WJun 29 · 01:00A. Diaz4.507750H. Sato1.171111113LJun 20 · 06:35S. Fan2.2011118123H. Sato1.607711101LJun 13 · 09:00M. Harimoto1.171111113H. Sato4.503310
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