TT Lossbeater/Others
OthersMatch #11853277
Played May 6Finished
Charlotte Lutz
Home
1.11
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115118117––––
Debora Vivarelli
Away
6.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingCharlotte Lutz above · Debora Vivarelli below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 53 set 3, 11-7
53 points played in total.
H2H Charlotte Lutz 1–0 Debora Vivarelli Debora Vivarelli has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Lutz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vivarelli form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (17%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLutz 1.11 / Vivarelli 6.00
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Lutz)-18.7pp (anti-value)
Others · #11853277
Lutz1.11
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Vivarelli6.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLutz1wins
AwayVivarelli0wins
Lutz leads 1–0.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricLutzVivarelliL − VBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.020.0+13.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLutzVivarelliBasisWin rate · lifetime32 / 61 vs 11 / 3352.5%33.3%32 / 61 vs 11 / 33Avg sets wonper match2.11.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.032.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LutzLutz 1.11/Vivarelli 6.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Lutz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lutz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
W—C. Lutz—3D. Vivarelli—0
C. Lutz10
LAug 10 · 17:45G. Piccolin2.20151181113C. Lutz1.61134111172LJul 24 · 16:55C. Lutz7.506111451H. Sato1.07111312113WJul 23 · 14:35B. Kanashiro6.009740C. Lutz1.111111113LJun 28 · 20:10C. Lutz6.5011860Y. Shin1.101311113LJun 18 · 04:00C. Lutz3.406570S. Aoki1.301111113LJun 4 · 08:00C. Lutz3.40117361Y. Yeh1.3071111113LMay 23 · 13:28M. Xiao2.101111113C. Lutz1.676660LMay 8 · 17:00C. Lutz2.00671161A. Dragoman1.7311116113WMay 5 · 17:30C. Lutz1.181111113M. Wu4.154750WMay 3 · 12:55C. Lutz1.201111113T. Yu4.335830
D. Vivarelli10
LSep 4 · 06:10K. Akae1.0611811113D. Vivarelli8.00711441WSep 3 · 06:45D. Vivarelli—1181110113A. Romanovskaya—31131242WSep 3 · 06:45D. Vivarelli1.201181110113A. Romanovskaya4.3331131242WSep 2 · 11:35D. Vivarelli1.03111111113A. Tsvigun10.00813641WSep 1 · 11:00D. Vivarelli—111011113M. Elmurodova—512511LAug 8 · 12:15E. Zaharia1.4051113113D. Vivarelli2.751191151LJul 24 · 22:20D. Vivarelli6.00128651L. Zhang1.11101111113WJul 23 · 22:30D. Vivarelli—1111113M. Agnone—8760LJul 4 · 09:45S. Aoki1.14511711113D. Vivarelli5.0011611992WJul 3 · 08:10S. Saini2.001091112112D. Vivarelli1.731211910133
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