TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Brazil Women
WTT Star Contender Brazil WomenMatch #12306267
Played Jul 26Finished
Hina Hayata
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
Final
4 – 2
Set by set
811117411119117118
Hitomi Sato
Away
3.15
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:09 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeHina Hayata to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingHina Hayata above · Hitomi Sato below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-7
Set 6 · 10-8
Point 108 set 6, 10-8 — our read held Hina Hayata at 54.5%
108 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:09What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (71%)
Hayata
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Hayata 100% vs Sato 80%
Hayata
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hayata 90% vs Sato 70%
Hayata
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hayata +5 · Sato +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Hayata) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sato form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (32%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHayata 1.30 / Sato 3.15
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Hayata)+0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Brazil Women · #12306267
Hayata1.30
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Sato3.15
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHayataSatoBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 5 vs 7 / 10100%70%5 / 5 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match3.02.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HayataHayata 1.30/Sato 3.15
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.8%
Hayata · sealed before the serve
What happened
4–2
Hayata won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
H. Hayata10
LSep 6 · 08:15H. Hayata1.339117181M. Hirano3.251191111114WSep 5 · 11:00H. Hayata1.1311511113A. Diaz5.50811421WSep 5 · 06:10H. Hayata1.061111113E. Abraamian8.009660WSep 4 · 11:00H. Hayata1.021211113T. Chien10.5010960WSep 3 · 05:00H. Hayata1.021111113Y. Li10.507760LAug 15 · 18:30M. Kuai1.36711111133H. Hayata3.0011536112WAug 14 · 10:35Y. Shin4.00116911102H. Hayata1.22611116123WAug 13 · 12:20T. Su8.00891291H. Hayata1.06111110113WAug 11 · 16:35J. Yuan7.0095120H. Hayata1.081111143LAug 8 · 10:15H. Hayata2.207841261M. Kuai1.6111111110114
H. Sato10
WJul 26 · 18:00H. Sato1.611111113M. Nagasaki2.209670WJul 25 · 20:35S. Yokoi2.35611981H. Sato1.5311911113WJul 25 · 15:10S. Akula7.002680H. Sato1.081111113WJul 24 · 16:55C. Lutz7.506111451H. Sato1.07111312113LJul 5 · 02:30M. Kuai2.2551197124H. Sato1.571151111103WJul 2 · 20:10H. Hashimoto1.838690H. Sato1.831111113WJul 1 · 01:00H. Sato5.001211153M. Wang1.15104130WJun 29 · 01:00A. Diaz4.507750H. Sato1.171111113LJun 20 · 06:35S. Fan2.2011118123H. Sato1.607711101LJun 13 · 09:00M. Harimoto1.171111113H. Sato4.503310
Upcoming Matches
H. Hayata
H. Sato
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.