TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty Women
WTT Contender Almaty WomenMatch #13081206
Played Sep 5Finished
Miu Hirano
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
411118116117––
Miyu Nagasaki
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiyu Nagasaki to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMiu Hirano above · Miyu Nagasaki below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 69 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Miyu Nagasaki at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 05:59What took a side1 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Nagasaki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Hirano 80% vs Nagasaki 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hirano 70% vs Nagasaki 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hirano +4 · Nagasaki +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Nagasaki)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nagasaki form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHirano 1.83 / Nagasaki 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Nagasaki)+4.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty Women · #13081206
Hirano1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Nagasaki1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHiranoNagasakiBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 8 / 1070%80%7 / 10 vs 8 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.22.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NagasakiHirano 1.83/Nagasaki 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Nagasaki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hirano won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Hirano10
WSep 6 · 08:15H. Hayata1.339117181M. Hirano3.251191111114WSep 5 · 05:00M. Hirano1.101111113V. Voronina6.508630WSep 4 · 13:10M. Hirano1.0811119113H. Yang7.00581181WSep 3 · 10:50M. Hirano1.041111113O. Vishnyakova7.201980WSep 3 · 06:10M. Hirano1.041111113O. Vishnyakova9.001980LAug 28 · 12:30Y. Namba—111162M. Hirano—94111WAug 28 · 11:50E. Taguchi—91171M. Hirano—115112LJun 19 · 16:35M. Hirano1.55411681S. Winter2.2011911113WJun 18 · 04:00M. Hirano1.101111113L. Rakovac6.506390LJun 13 · 09:00S. Odo1.221111113M. Hirano4.007740
M. Nagasaki10
WSep 5 · 06:00K. Akae2.25681111102M. Nagasaki1.57111149123WSep 4 · 05:35Y. Ghorpade5.008911131M. Nagasaki1.1411118153WSep 3 · 05:00S. Mukherjee6.5091030M. Nagasaki1.101112113LAug 14 · 16:35Y. Peng3.5091111103M. Nagasaki1.28118961WAug 13 · 18:20M. Nagasaki1.731111103S. Winter2.007730WAug 11 · 17:45E. Abraamian3.501148111M. Nagasaki1.2891111133LJul 26 · 18:00H. Sato1.611111113M. Nagasaki2.209670WJul 25 · 21:10M. Nagasaki2.101111113S. Odo1.654850WJul 25 · 15:45M. Nagasaki1.071151211113L. Zhang7.0011114652WJul 24 · 15:10M. Nagasaki1.0181111113G. Takahashi11.50117251
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