TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12282194
Played Jul 22Finished
Denys Kovtanyuk
Home
1.98
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115119611117––
Michal Dabek
Away
1.68
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:18 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timeMichal Dabek to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
115119611117––
H2H Denys Kovtanyuk 0–2 Michal Dabek Denys Kovtanyuk has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:18What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.68 (54%)
Dabek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kovtanyuk 1394 vs Dabek 1464
Dabek
Wrong
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kovtanyuk 20% vs Dabek 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kovtanyuk 40% vs Dabek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kovtanyuk +1 · Dabek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dabek) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dabek form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovtanyuk 1.98 / Dabek 1.68
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dabek)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #12282194
Kovtanyuk1.98
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog32% won 17 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back13% 4 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Dabek1.68
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite61% won 17 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it79% 11 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKovtanyuk0wins
AwayDabek2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderDabek leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKovtanyukDabekK − DBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match44.048.0−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovtanyukDabekBasisWin rate · lifetime67 / 230 vs 133 / 24229.1%55%67 / 230 vs 133 / 242Avg sets wonper match1.52.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.337.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DabekKovtanyuk 1.98/Dabek 1.68
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Dabek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kovtanyuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LMay 21 · 15:30D. Kovtanyuk—1241091M. Dabek—101112113
LMay 20 · 18:30D. Kovtanyuk—131111992M. Dabek—157811113
D. Kovtanyuk10
LJul 24 · 21:30K. Kowalewski—1111113D. Kovtanyuk—6660LJul 24 · 20:00K. Kowalewski1.11111011113D. Kovtanyuk5.05912981LJul 24 · 19:00D. Kovtanyuk3.25861161K. Guzy1.2611118113LJul 24 · 18:00D. Kovtanyuk2.05311101572A. Veliiev1.681191213113LJul 24 · 16:30D. Kovtanyuk2.5051111622P. Kos1.43114911113WJul 23 · 21:40D. Kovtanyuk6.2011811173K. Kowalewski1.078119151LJul 23 · 20:00K. Guzy1.121111113D. Kovtanyuk4.909990WJul 23 · 19:00D. Kovtanyuk1.8651111113P. Kos1.78116851LJul 23 · 18:00D. Kovtanyuk4.55119911102K. Kowalewski1.14911119123WJul 23 · 16:30D. Kovtanyuk2.49751311113B. Gola1.43111111582
M. Dabek10
WJul 22 · 21:30D. Kovtanyuk—5670M. Dabek—1111113LJul 22 · 21:00M. Dabek5.701950K. Guzy1.081111113LJul 22 · 19:00B. Gola1.751111113M. Dabek1.897850LJul 22 · 17:00A. Veliiev1.491111113M. Dabek2.454620LJul 22 · 15:30M. Dabek3.550350K. Kowalewski1.221111113WMay 21 · 21:30M. Dabek—411112123T. Stachera—113911102LMay 21 · 20:30K. Zapala1.4611118113M. Dabek2.41871181LMay 21 · 19:30K. Guzy1.461111113M. Dabek2.409850LMay 21 · 18:00B. Gola1.581113113M. Dabek2.1541130WMay 21 · 15:30D. Kovtanyuk2.331241091M. Dabek1.49101112113
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