TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12282494
Played Jul 22Finished
Michal Dabek
Home
3.55
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
011311511––––
Kamil Kowalewski
Away
1.22
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:27 and never touched — 74.4% is still 74.4%
Graded at full timeKamil Kowalewski to win
74.4%
74.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
41 points played in total.
Set by set
011311511––––
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:27What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (74%)
Kowalewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Dabek 1471 vs Kowalewski 1652
Kowalewski
Correct
both rated, 181 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dabek 40% vs Kowalewski 80%
Kowalewski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dabek 50% vs Kowalewski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dabek +1 · Kowalewski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Kowalewski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dabek form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (28%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDabek 3.55 / Kowalewski 1.22
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Kowalewski)-0.0pp
TT Cup · #12282494
Dabek3.55
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog49% won 20 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back29% 7 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Kowalewski1.22
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 65 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it68% 43 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricDabekKowalewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime133 / 241 vs 99 / 16355.2%60.7%133 / 241 vs 99 / 163Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
KowalewskiDabek 3.55/Kowalewski 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.4%
Kowalewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kowalewski won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Dabek10
WJul 22 · 21:30D. Kovtanyuk—5670M. Dabek—1111113LJul 22 · 21:00M. Dabek5.701950K. Guzy1.081111113LJul 22 · 19:00B. Gola1.751111113M. Dabek1.897850LJul 22 · 17:00A. Veliiev1.491111113M. Dabek2.454620LJul 22 · 16:00D. Kovtanyuk1.9811116113M. Dabek1.68591171WMay 21 · 21:30M. Dabek—411112123T. Stachera—113911102LMay 21 · 20:30K. Zapala1.4611118113M. Dabek2.41871181LMay 21 · 19:30K. Guzy1.461111113M. Dabek2.409850LMay 21 · 18:00B. Gola1.581113113M. Dabek2.1541130WMay 21 · 15:30D. Kovtanyuk2.331241091M. Dabek1.49101112113
K. Kowalewski10
LSep 6 · 14:15K. Guzy1.8891111113K. Kowalewski1.82118691WSep 6 · 12:05K. Kowalewski1.3391313113K. Zapala2.8511111191LSep 6 · 10:35K. Kowalewski1.33145831P. Kos3.10121111113LSep 6 · 09:05K. Kowalewski1.8751181182K. Guzy1.83117117113WSep 6 · 07:05K. Kowalewski1.741111113A. Duch1.957730WSep 6 · 06:05K. Kowalewski1.55812911123M. Szymanski2.211110119102LSep 5 · 22:35K. Kowalewski—13981452M. Szymanski—11111112113LSep 5 · 21:35K. Zapala2.6091111133K. Kowalewski1.441167111WSep 5 · 20:35M. Szymanski2.1010149101K. Kowalewski1.60121211123LSep 5 · 19:05K. Guzy2.00121211113K. Kowalewski1.711014771
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