TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12081835
Played Jun 22Finished
Andrii Ostrovskyi
Home
4.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711811411––––
Matthias Danzer
Away
1.17
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingAndrii Ostrovskyi above · Matthias Danzer below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 52 set 3, 4-11
52 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Ostrovskyi 0–3 Matthias Danzer Andrii Ostrovskyi has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Danzer)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ostrovskyi form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOstrovskyi 4.50 / Danzer 1.17
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Danzer)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12081835
Ostrovskyi4.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest78%takes the first set · 7 of 9
Danzer1.17
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeOstrovskyi0wins
AwayDanzer3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderDanzer leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ostrovskyi1Danzer2n = 3Danzer took 2 of 3
S2Ostrovskyi1Danzer2n = 3Danzer took 2 of 3
S3Ostrovskyi0Danzer3n = 3Danzer took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricOstrovskyiDanzerO − DBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match24.735.0−10.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOstrovskyiDanzerBasisWin rate · lifetime13 / 39 vs 207 / 28733.3%72.1%13 / 39 vs 207 / 287Avg sets wonper match1.52.5per matchAvg pointsper match32.437.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanzerOstrovskyi 4.50/Danzer 1.17
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Danzer · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Danzer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LMar 24 · 09:00A. Ostrovskyi—111110802M. Danzer—62121143
LNov 14 · 10:00A. Ostrovskyi—33110M. Danzer—1111133
LNov 14 · 09:00A. Ostrovskyi—33110M. Danzer—1111133
A. Ostrovskyi10
WJun 23 · 08:00A. Ostrovskyi—118811123M. Stefanidis—611117102LJun 22 · 12:30A. Ostrovskyi1.830M. Nogami1.833LJun 22 · 11:00A. Ostrovskyi1.331L. Dreykorn3.253LJun 22 · 08:30T. Pellny1.2812119113A. Ostrovskyi3.501061171LJun 22 · 07:00A. Ostrovskyi6.508570K. Fadeev1.101111113LMar 24 · 11:30K. Fadeev1.27101111113A. Ostrovskyi3.40127961LMar 24 · 10:45J. Shim1.751111113A. Ostrovskyi1.956450LMar 24 · 09:00A. Ostrovskyi5.50111110802M. Danzer1.1362121143WMar 23 · 18:00A. Ostrovskyi1.041111113L. Mahnert9.008580WMar 23 · 16:00A. Ostrovskyi1.611191011113P. Koloidenko2.2041112572
M. Danzer10
LAug 25 · 11:00V. Yefimov1.46128711113M. Danzer2.55101111762WAug 25 · 09:45M. Danzer1.1812117113E. Huzsvar4.051071161WAug 25 · 07:30M. Henninger6.5011311692M. Danzer1.10911911113LAug 24 · 17:30M. Danzer1.8313781112V. Yefimov1.831111117113WAug 24 · 16:00A. Moreno8.506650M. Danzer1.051111113WAug 24 · 14:00P. Koloidenko8.001111181M. Danzer1.0611139113WAug 24 · 12:00M. Danzer—11117113E. Huzsvar—481191WAug 24 · 09:30M. Danzer1.031111113M. Kupfer10.004860WAug 24 · 08:00M. Danzer1.041111113J. Willeke8.107860WMar 24 · 09:00A. Ostrovskyi5.50111110802M. Danzer1.1362121143
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