TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12043189
Played Jun 15Finished
Kirill Fadeev
Home
1.08
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114118118––––
Manuel Echaveguren
Away
7.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingKirill Fadeev above · Manuel Echaveguren below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 53 set 3, 11-8
53 points played in total.
H2H Kirill Fadeev 1–0 Manuel Echaveguren Manuel Echaveguren has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Fadeev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Echaveguren form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (14%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFadeev 1.08 / Echaveguren 7.00
Signal prob.87% / 13%
Edge (Fadeev)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12043189
Fadeev1.08
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Echaveguren7.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeFadeev1wins
AwayEchaveguren0wins
Fadeev leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricFadeevEchavegurenF − EBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match42.029.0+13.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFadeevEchavegurenBasisWin rate · lifetime131 / 182 vs 5 / 3572%14.3%131 / 182 vs 5 / 35Avg sets wonper match2.51.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.929.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FadeevFadeev 1.08/Echaveguren 7.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
86.6%
Fadeev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Fadeev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WApr 17 · 13:30K. Fadeev—11911113M. Echaveguren—611481
K. Fadeev10
WSep 7 · 11:30K. Fadeev1.361111113V. Senkbeil3.008490WSep 7 · 10:00K. Fadeev1.0311118113C. Schmitt10.00491161WSep 7 · 08:00K. Waltl6.00114861K. Fadeev1.1191111113WSep 1 · 11:00K. Fadeev2.003121110113K. Zimmermann1.70111011272LSep 1 · 09:47A. Limonov1.40111111143K. Fadeev2.751355121LSep 1 · 08:00A. Limonov1.57111195113K. Fadeev2.2584111172WSep 1 · 07:00K. Fadeev—611511113M. Stefanidis—11711992WAug 31 · 15:30K. Zimmermann2.6311115282K. Fadeev1.44361111113WAug 31 · 13:30S. Amann8.504740K. Fadeev1.05111183WAug 31 · 12:10M. Gremillion7.00512100K. Fadeev1.081114123
M. Echaveguren10
LJun 16 · 10:30M. Echaveguren8.50117891K. Fadeev1.0581111113LJun 16 · 09:15F. Bluhm1.371111113M. Echaveguren2.853450LJun 16 · 08:30M. Danzer1.031111113M. Echaveguren10.004690WJun 15 · 17:00L. Carrillo5.30311531M. Echaveguren1.1011711113WJun 15 · 16:59L. Turcios2.75311531M. Echaveguren1.4011711113WJun 15 · 15:30M. Echaveguren1.13135129113L. Dreykorn5.501111101172LJun 15 · 11:30F. Bluhm1.021111113M. Echaveguren10.505540WJun 15 · 09:30G. Patil2.005970M. Echaveguren1.701111113WJun 15 · 07:30L. Kraus1.5047110M. Echaveguren2.501111133LNov 25 · 08:30M. Danzer1.071111123M. Echaveguren7.5075100
Upcoming Matches
K. Fadeev
M. Echaveguren
Nothing scheduled
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