TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12049436
Played Jun 16Finished
Manuel Echaveguren
Home
8.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118711811911––
Kirill Fadeev
Away
1.05
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingManuel Echaveguren above · Kirill Fadeev below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 76 set 4, 9-11
76 points played in total.
H2H Manuel Echaveguren 0–2 Kirill Fadeev Manuel Echaveguren has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 89% — Strong (leans Fadeev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fadeev form (60%) is below what odds imply (95%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEchaveguren 8.50 / Fadeev 1.05
Signal prob.11% / 89%
Edge (Fadeev)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12049436
Echaveguren8.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Fadeev1.05
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeEchaveguren0wins
AwayFadeev2wins
Fadeev leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricEchavegurenFadeevE − FBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match24.537.5−13.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricEchavegurenFadeevBasisWin rate · lifetime10 / 42 vs 134 / 18623.8%72%10 / 42 vs 134 / 186Avg sets wonper match1.12.5per matchAvg pointsper match29.837.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FadeevEchaveguren 8.50/Fadeev 1.05
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
89%
Fadeev · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fadeev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJun 15 · 13:00M. Echaveguren—4880K. Fadeev—1111113
LApr 17 · 13:30M. Echaveguren—611481K. Fadeev—11911113
M. Echaveguren10
LJun 16 · 09:15F. Bluhm1.371111113M. Echaveguren2.853450LJun 16 · 08:30M. Danzer1.031111113M. Echaveguren10.004690WJun 15 · 17:00L. Carrillo5.30311531M. Echaveguren1.1011711113WJun 15 · 16:59L. Turcios2.75311531M. Echaveguren1.4011711113WJun 15 · 15:30M. Echaveguren1.13135129113L. Dreykorn5.501111101172LJun 15 · 13:00K. Fadeev1.081111113M. Echaveguren7.004880LJun 15 · 11:30F. Bluhm1.021111113M. Echaveguren10.505540WJun 15 · 09:30G. Patil2.005970M. Echaveguren1.701111113WJun 15 · 07:30L. Kraus1.5047110M. Echaveguren2.501111133LNov 25 · 08:30M. Danzer1.071111123M. Echaveguren7.5075100
K. Fadeev10
WSep 7 · 11:30K. Fadeev1.361111113V. Senkbeil3.008490WSep 7 · 10:00K. Fadeev1.0311118113C. Schmitt10.00491161WSep 7 · 08:00K. Waltl6.00114861K. Fadeev1.1191111113WSep 1 · 11:00K. Fadeev2.003121110113K. Zimmermann1.70111011272LSep 1 · 09:47A. Limonov1.40111111143K. Fadeev2.751355121LSep 1 · 08:00A. Limonov1.57111195113K. Fadeev2.2584111172WSep 1 · 07:00K. Fadeev—611511113M. Stefanidis—11711992WAug 31 · 15:30K. Zimmermann2.6311115282K. Fadeev1.44361111113WAug 31 · 13:30S. Amann8.504740K. Fadeev1.05111183WJun 15 · 13:00K. Fadeev1.081111113M. Echaveguren7.004880
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