TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jan Mecl Jr vs Marek Fabini 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Jun 10Finished
Jan Mecl Jr
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911119511811––
Marek Fabini
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingJan Mecl Jr above · Marek Fabini below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 75 set 4, 8-11
75 points played in total.
H2H Jan Mecl Jr 12–10 Marek Fabini Marek Fabini has won 10 of their 22 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.80 / Fabini 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jr)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12018651
Jr1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 102 of 183
Up 2–0, closes it92% 36 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it71% 65 of 92
Fabini1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 13 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back29% 5 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back20% 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr6wins
AwayFabini4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderJr leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr100%6 of 6
AwayFabini100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr6Fabini4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S2Jr6Fabini4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S3Jr5Fabini5n = 10split evenly
S4Jr3Fabini4n = 8Fabini took 4 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrFabiniJ − FBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.938.2−1.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrFabiniBasisWin rate · lifetime519 / 986 vs 140 / 27652.6%50.7%519 / 986 vs 140 / 276Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrJr 1.80/Fabini 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fabini won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMar 19 · 16:30J. Jr3912511113M. Fabini381011981
WMar 5 · 18:00J. Jr3811511113M. Fabini36811981
LMar 5 · 15:00J. Jr338114101M. Fabini4111711123
WJan 15 · 18:30J. Jr421114173M. Fabini31412150
LJan 15 · 17:00J. Jr378121341M. Fabini47111411113
WJan 14 · 18:00J. Jr331111113M. Fabini165470
LJan 14 · 15:00J. Jr321212621M. Fabini46141011113
WNov 27 · 17:00J. Jr371112592M. Fabini399101191
LNov 5 · 18:00J. Jr31811841M. Fabini4211911113
WNov 5 · 17:00J. Jr47115611143M. Fabini46511117122
J. Jr10
LSep 20 · 17:00R. Rose2.001111113J. Jr1.736970LSep 20 · 16:00J. Jr1.678680M. Zahradka2.101111113LSep 20 · 15:30L. Prikasky1.67112119113J. Jr2.1071181152LSep 20 · 14:00J. Jr1.57571271R. Rose2.25111110103WSep 19 · 13:00O. Kolisnyk2.207101111102J. Jr1.61111299123LSep 19 · 12:30J. Jr1.8377100L. Zeman1.831111123WSep 19 · 11:00J. Jr2.3851111113L. Prikasky1.53114271LSep 19 · 10:00O. Kolisnyk2.3815117113J. Jr1.531391181LSep 13 · 17:30O. Kolisnyk2.45881111113J. Jr1.4911112682WSep 13 · 16:00J. Jr1.44811711113V. Nohejl2.6311911542
M. Fabini10
LJun 17 · 17:30P. Gireth1.67114312143M. Fabini2.107111110122WJun 17 · 16:30M. Fabini1.73101111113T. Postelt2.00128551WJun 17 · 15:00M. Fabini1.80101113123J. Vales1.9112811101LJun 17 · 14:00P. Gireth2.00911411133M. Fabini1.73117114112LJun 10 · 16:00M. Fabini1.7371181162T. Postelt2.00115118113LJun 10 · 15:30M. Jezek2.631112113M. Fabini1.4461090WJun 10 · 14:00M. Fabini1.91811812113J. Jr1.80118111092WJun 4 · 17:30M. Fabini1.731211123F. Wolf2.00104100WJun 4 · 16:30M. Fabini1.731113113J. Kanera2.0071160WJun 4 · 15:00M. Fabini2.001111113F. Wolf1.734470
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.