TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Marek Fabini vs Tomas Postelt 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Jun 17Finished
Marek Fabini
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1012118115115––
Tomas Postelt
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMarek Fabini above · Tomas Postelt below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 73 set 4, 11-5
73 points played in total.
H2H Marek Fabini 8–6 Tomas Postelt Tomas Postelt has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Fabini)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Postelt form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFabini 1.73 / Postelt 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Fabini)+1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12050839
Fabini1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 22 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it77% 17 of 22
Postelt2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 80 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back28% 28 of 100
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFabini6wins
AwayPostelt4wins
7 of 10 to a deciderFabini leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFabini80%4 of 5
AwayPostelt60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fabini5Postelt5n = 10split evenly
S2Fabini5Postelt5n = 10split evenly
S3Fabini4Postelt6n = 10Postelt took 6 of 10
S4Fabini6Postelt1n = 7Fabini took 6 of 7
S5Fabini4Postelt3n = 7Fabini took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFabiniPosteltF − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.541.0+2.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFabiniPosteltBasisWin rate · lifetime141 / 277 vs 477 / 99650.9%47.9%141 / 277 vs 477 / 996Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FabiniFabini 1.73/Postelt 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.7%
Fabini · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Fabini won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 10 · 16:00M. Fabini4371181162T. Postelt46115118113
LApr 8 · 15:00M. Fabini28101260T. Postelt371214113
WMar 26 · 17:30M. Fabini331111113T. Postelt205780
WMar 18 · 16:30M. Fabini5511111111113T. Postelt5091313692
LNov 13 · 17:30M. Fabini4311511882T. Postelt49711911113
WOct 30 · 17:00M. Fabini48118711113T. Postelt4591111952
WOct 22 · 17:30M. Fabini331111113T. Postelt239950
LOct 22 · 14:00M. Fabini50811111192T. Postelt53111399113
WOct 2 · 14:00M. Fabini50911711123T. Postelt46119115102
WSep 17 · 16:00M. Fabini521011911113T. Postelt4112711652
M. Fabini10
LJun 17 · 17:30P. Gireth1.67114312143M. Fabini2.107111110122WJun 17 · 15:00M. Fabini1.80101113123J. Vales1.9112811101LJun 17 · 14:00P. Gireth2.00911411133M. Fabini1.73117114112WJun 10 · 16:58J. Jr1.80911581M. Fabini1.9111911113LJun 10 · 16:00M. Fabini1.7371181162T. Postelt2.00115118113LJun 10 · 15:30M. Jezek2.631112113M. Fabini1.4461090WJun 10 · 14:00M. Fabini1.91811812113J. Jr1.80118111092WJun 4 · 17:30M. Fabini1.731211123F. Wolf2.00104100WJun 4 · 16:30M. Fabini1.731113113J. Kanera2.0071160WJun 4 · 15:00M. Fabini2.001111113F. Wolf1.734470
T. Postelt10
WSep 21 · 17:30T. Postelt2.381111113V. Koubek1.536570WSep 21 · 16:30T. Postelt2.201111113V. Koubek1.618770WSep 21 · 15:00T. Postelt1.83116115123E. Mares1.83811511102WSep 21 · 14:00J. Zajicek1.4079111192T. Postelt2.75111166113WSep 17 · 03:00M. Zahradka2.5038130T. Postelt1.501111153LSep 17 · 02:30E. Mares1.7310101113183T. Postelt2.001212811162WSep 17 · 01:00J. Ruzicka2.1011520T. Postelt1.671311113LSep 16 · 23:30T. Postelt1.73911514102M. Huk2.001171112123LSep 16 · 22:00T. Postelt1.9111511762M. Zahradka1.80811711113WJun 10 · 16:00M. Fabini1.7371181162T. Postelt2.00115118113
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