TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Marek Fabini vs Jan Mecl Jr 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Jun 10Finished
Marek Fabini
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111188111210119
Jan Mecl Jr
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMarek Fabini above · Jan Mecl Jr below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 99 set 5, 11-9
99 points played in total.
H2H Marek Fabini 10–12 Jan Mecl Jr Marek Fabini has won 10 of their 22 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fabini form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFabini 1.91 / Jr 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jr)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12013016
Fabini1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 14 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back29% 5 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back20% 2 of 10
Jr1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 102 of 183
Up 2–0, closes it92% 36 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it71% 65 of 92
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFabini4wins
AwayJr6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderJr leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFabini100%4 of 4
AwayJr100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fabini4Jr6n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S2Fabini4Jr6n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S3Fabini5Jr5n = 10split evenly
S4Fabini4Jr3n = 8Fabini took 4 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricFabiniJrF − JBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.236.9+1.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFabiniJrBasisWin rate · lifetime139 / 273 vs 519 / 98450.9%52.7%139 / 273 vs 519 / 984Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.340.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrFabini 1.91/Jr 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Fabini won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMar 19 · 16:30M. Fabini381011981J. Jr3912511113
LMar 5 · 18:00M. Fabini36811981J. Jr3811511113
WMar 5 · 15:00M. Fabini4111711123J. Jr338114101
LJan 15 · 18:30M. Fabini31412150J. Jr421114173
WJan 15 · 17:00M. Fabini47111411113J. Jr378121341
LJan 14 · 18:00M. Fabini165470J. Jr331111113
WJan 14 · 15:00M. Fabini46141011113J. Jr321212621
LNov 27 · 17:00M. Fabini399101191J. Jr371112592
WNov 5 · 18:00M. Fabini4211911113J. Jr31811841
LNov 5 · 17:00M. Fabini46511117122J. Jr47115611143
M. Fabini10
LJun 17 · 17:30P. Gireth1.67114312143M. Fabini2.107111110122WJun 17 · 16:30M. Fabini1.73101111113T. Postelt2.00128551WJun 17 · 15:00M. Fabini1.80101113123J. Vales1.9112811101LJun 17 · 14:00P. Gireth2.00911411133M. Fabini1.73117114112WJun 10 · 16:58J. Jr1.80911581M. Fabini1.9111911113LJun 10 · 16:00M. Fabini1.7371181162T. Postelt2.00115118113LJun 10 · 15:30M. Jezek2.631112113M. Fabini1.4461090WJun 4 · 17:30M. Fabini1.731211123F. Wolf2.00104100WJun 4 · 16:30M. Fabini1.731113113J. Kanera2.0071160WJun 4 · 15:00M. Fabini2.001111113F. Wolf1.734470
J. Jr10
LSep 20 · 17:00R. Rose2.001111113J. Jr1.736970LSep 20 · 16:00J. Jr1.678680M. Zahradka2.101111113LSep 20 · 15:30L. Prikasky1.67112119113J. Jr2.1071181152LSep 20 · 14:00J. Jr1.57571271R. Rose2.25111110103WSep 19 · 13:00O. Kolisnyk2.207101111102J. Jr1.61111299123LSep 19 · 12:30J. Jr1.8377100L. Zeman1.831111123WSep 19 · 11:00J. Jr2.3851111113L. Prikasky1.53114271LSep 19 · 10:00O. Kolisnyk2.3815117113J. Jr1.531391181LSep 13 · 17:30O. Kolisnyk2.45881111113J. Jr1.4911112682LJun 10 · 16:58J. Jr1.80911581M. Fabini1.9111911113
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