TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Akito Itagaki vs Karl Walter 3-2 · Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TT
Played Jun 9Finished
Akito Itagaki
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111311115811111
Karl Walter
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingAkito Itagaki above · Karl Walter below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-1
Point 89 set 5, 11-1
89 points played in total.
H2H Akito Itagaki 1–0 Karl Walter Karl Walter has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Itagaki)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Walter form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsItagaki 1.61 / Walter 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Itagaki)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12006313
Itagaki1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Walter2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeItagaki1wins
AwayWalter0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderItagaki leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricItagakiWalterI − WBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match43.038.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricItagakiWalterBasisWin rate · lifetime42 / 79 vs 52 / 12553.2%41.6%42 / 79 vs 52 / 125Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.135.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ItagakiItagaki 1.61/Walter 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Itagaki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Itagaki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 30 · 07:30A. Itagaki43118112113K. Walter3831181152
A. Itagaki10
WJul 17 · 10:29A. Itagaki3.00131111113J. Loffler1.361113831LJul 17 · 09:38I. Bertrand1.011111113A. Itagaki12.004340LJul 17 · 08:00M. Danzer1.25811611113A. Itagaki3.7511911552WJul 17 · 07:00A. Itagaki1.16116711113M. Stefanidis4.4541111852WJul 16 · 15:30A. Moreno4.339540A. Itagaki1.201111113LJul 16 · 13:30J. Loffler1.501011117113A. Itagaki2.5012851192LJul 16 · 12:00I. Bertrand1.041111123A. Itagaki9.0062100WJul 16 · 09:00D. Zech4.33981381A. Itagaki1.20111111113WJul 16 · 07:00S. Happek2.7551131182A. Itagaki1.40118116113LJul 14 · 10:30A. Itagaki3.0596130O. Kosolosky1.331111153
K. Walter10
WJun 19 · 08:30K. Walter4.3311711113L. Qiu1.20811521WJun 19 · 07:30K. Walter4.0011711113L. Qiu1.18811521WJun 18 · 17:30K. Walter1.401111113S. Happek2.756680WJun 18 · 16:30K. Walter1.501111113S. Happek2.316680LJun 18 · 15:30K. Walter4.5010750O. Kosolosky1.171211113LJun 18 · 13:30M. Scharrer1.361111123K. Walter3.0077100LJun 18 · 12:30M. Scharrer1.331111123K. Walter2.8577100LJun 18 · 11:30I. Bertrand1.051111113K. Walter8.509840LJun 18 · 10:00K. Walter1.808670L. Kraus1.911111113LJun 18 · 09:00K. Walter1.778670L. Kraus1.871111113
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