TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Michal Jezek vs Marek Fabini 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Jun 4Finished
Michal Jezek
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117114811511118
Marek Fabini
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMichal Jezek above · Marek Fabini below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 87 set 5, 11-8
87 points played in total.
H2H Michal Jezek 2–4 Marek Fabini Michal Jezek has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Fabini)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fabini form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJezek 3.00 / Fabini 1.36
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Fabini)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #11984305
Jezek3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 57 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back31% 18 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 33
Fabini1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite48% won 20 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it71% 15 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeJezek2wins
AwayFabini4wins
1 of 6 to a deciderFabini leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJezek66.7%2 of 3
AwayFabini100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jezek3Fabini3n = 6split evenly
S2Jezek2Fabini4n = 6Fabini took 4 of 6
S3Jezek3Fabini3n = 6split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricJezekFabiniJ − FBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match28.832.3−3.5per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJezekFabiniBasisWin rate · lifetime236 / 478 vs 136 / 26949.4%50.6%236 / 478 vs 136 / 269Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FabiniJezek 3.00/Fabini 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.8%
Fabini · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jezek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LApr 16 · 17:00M. Jezek—0M. Fabini—3
LApr 16 · 15:30M. Jezek—0M. Fabini—3
WJan 3 · 14:30M. Jezek—3M. Fabini—0
LJan 3 · 12:00M. Jezek—2M. Fabini—3
WNov 5 · 15:30M. Jezek—3M. Fabini—0
LSep 1 · 15:30M. Jezek—1M. Fabini—3
M. Jezek10
WSep 16 · 17:30M. Jezek1.501111113R. Urbaniec2.405660WSep 16 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.6311841272M. Jezek1.449111110113LSep 16 · 15:30M. Jezek1.6711851152O. Kolisnyk2.10911116113WSep 16 · 14:30V. Nohejl1.91621151M. Jezek1.8011118113WSep 9 · 17:00R. Urbaniec1.8356100M. Jezek1.831111123LSep 9 · 16:30M. Jezek1.915260J. Ruzicka1.801111113LSep 9 · 15:00M. Jezek1.731212841O. Kolisnyk2.00101411113WSep 9 · 14:00R. Urbaniec1.831011761M. Jezek1.7812711113WSep 3 · 17:28M. Jezek2.20111011113J. Kanera1.61612461LSep 3 · 16:00J. Kanera1.57118119123M. Jezek2.25611911102
M. Fabini10
LJun 17 · 17:30P. Gireth1.67114312143M. Fabini2.107111110122WJun 17 · 16:30M. Fabini1.73101111113T. Postelt2.00128551WJun 17 · 15:00M. Fabini1.80101113123J. Vales1.9112811101LJun 17 · 14:00P. Gireth2.00911411133M. Fabini1.73117114112WJun 10 · 16:58J. Jr1.80911581M. Fabini1.9111911113LJun 10 · 16:00M. Fabini1.7371181162T. Postelt2.00115118113LJun 10 · 15:30M. Jezek2.631112113M. Fabini1.4461090WJun 10 · 14:00M. Fabini1.91811812113J. Jr1.80118111092WJun 4 · 17:30M. Fabini1.731211123F. Wolf2.00104100WJun 4 · 16:30M. Fabini1.731113113J. Kanera2.0071160
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