TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #11924061
Played May 23Finished
Daniel Tuma
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1412116911116––
Jan Sucharda
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingDaniel Tuma above · Jan Sucharda below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 80 set 4, 11-6
80 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tuma 3–4 Jan Sucharda Daniel Tuma has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tuma)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sucharda form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuma 1.80 / Sucharda 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Tuma)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #11924061
Tuma1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 185 of 301
Up 2–0, closes it95% 89 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it77% 140 of 181
Sucharda1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 57 of 148
Down 0–1, comes back23% 20 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeTuma3wins
AwaySucharda4wins
1 of 7 to a deciderSucharda leads 4–3, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTuma66.7%2 of 3
AwaySucharda75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tuma3Sucharda4n = 7Sucharda took 4 of 7
S2Tuma2Sucharda5n = 7Sucharda took 5 of 7
S3Tuma4Sucharda3n = 7Tuma took 4 of 7
S4Tuma3Sucharda2n = 5Tuma took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home343%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricTumaSuchardaT − SBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match33.337.7−4.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTumaSuchardaBasisWin rate · lifetime913 / 1749 vs 480 / 98552.2%48.7%913 / 1749 vs 480 / 985Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TumaTuma 1.80/Sucharda 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Tuma · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Tuma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WMar 29 · 02:30D. Tuma—3J. Sucharda—1
WFeb 22 · 01:30D. Tuma—3J. Sucharda—1
LDec 11 · 23:00D. Tuma—0J. Sucharda—3
LDec 9 · 24:00D. Tuma—2J. Sucharda—3
LJun 13 · 03:30D. Tuma—1J. Sucharda—3
WJun 13 · 24:00D. Tuma—3J. Sucharda—1
LJun 7 · 01:00D. Tuma—0J. Sucharda—3
D. Tuma10
WSep 3 · 21:30D. Tuma1.521111113V. Postelt2.356960WSep 3 · 20:00M. Sedlak1.914611111D. Tuma1.8011117133WSep 3 · 19:00T. Vinter1.9141181182D. Tuma1.80111119113WSep 3 · 18:30D. Tuma1.40111212113V. Postelt2.757101481WSep 3 · 17:30D. Tuma1.73151110113M. Sobisek2.001351271WSep 3 · 16:00D. Tuma1.911111113J. Stolfa1.809770LSep 3 · 15:30M. Sobisek2.00118119133D. Tuma1.73411711112WSep 3 · 14:00D. Tuma2.008111510113J. Hradecky1.73118131252WSep 1 · 21:28D. Tuma1.91128511113K. Kapras1.80101111492WSep 1 · 20:30D. Tuma2.20117117113K. Kapras1.6141161152
J. Sucharda10
LMay 23 · 02:00J. Sucharda1.619550J. Hradecky2.201111113LMay 23 · 01:00J. Sucharda1.617360P. Pycha2.201111113LMay 22 · 22:30M. Vizek2.501211911113J. Sucharda1.5014811652LMay 22 · 21:29T. Janata2.25117119133J. Sucharda1.57811611112LMay 22 · 20:30J. Sucharda1.44651111132T. Janata2.63111189153WMay 22 · 19:00J. Sucharda1.5781211113M. Volf2.251110661LMay 22 · 18:00L. Krejcik1.91611127123J. Sucharda1.801191011102LApr 12 · 03:00J. Sucharda1.36613421J. Prokupek3.00111111113WApr 12 · 01:30J. Sucharda1.671111123T. Janata2.1067100LApr 12 · 24:30B. Nguyen1.919111011113J. Sucharda1.8011612792
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