TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #11924031
Played May 23Finished
Jan Sucharda
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711311611––––
Patrik Pycha
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJan Sucharda above · Patrik Pycha below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 49 set 3, 6-11
49 points played in total.
H2H Jan Sucharda 11–6 Patrik Pycha Patrik Pycha has won 6 of their 17 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Sucharda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pycha form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSucharda 1.61 / Pycha 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Sucharda)+1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #11924031
Sucharda1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite51% won 74 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it97% 31 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it68% 49 of 72
Pycha2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 71 of 201
Down 0–1, comes back14% 16 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSucharda7wins
AwayPycha3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSucharda leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSucharda87.5%7 of 8
AwayPychan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sucharda8Pycha2n = 10Sucharda took 8 of 10
S2Sucharda4Pycha6n = 10Pycha took 6 of 10
S3Sucharda6Pycha4n = 10Sucharda took 6 of 10
S4Sucharda3Pycha3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSuchardaPychaS − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.936.7+0.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSuchardaPychaBasisWin rate · lifetime480 / 986 vs 685 / 131048.7%52.3%480 / 986 vs 685 / 1310Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SuchardaSucharda 1.61/Pycha 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.7%
Sucharda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pycha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WApr 11 · 22:30J. Sucharda—3P. Pycha—0
LMar 29 · 01:30J. Sucharda—1P. Pycha—3
WJun 15 · 24:30J. Sucharda—3P. Pycha—0
WJun 10 · 22:30J. Sucharda—3P. Pycha—1
WJun 6 · 23:30J. Sucharda—3P. Pycha—1
WMay 16 · 24:30J. Sucharda—3P. Pycha—2
LMay 11 · 09:01J. Sucharda—0P. Pycha—3
LMay 11 · 08:00J. Sucharda—1P. Pycha—3
WMay 10 · 02:30J. Sucharda—3P. Pycha—2
WApr 27 · 22:30J. Sucharda—3P. Pycha—0
J. Sucharda10
LMay 23 · 02:00J. Sucharda1.619550J. Hradecky2.201111113LMay 23 · 24:00D. Tuma1.8014119113J. Sucharda1.911261161LMay 22 · 22:30M. Vizek2.501211911113J. Sucharda1.5014811652LMay 22 · 21:29T. Janata2.25117119133J. Sucharda1.57811611112LMay 22 · 20:30J. Sucharda1.44651111132T. Janata2.63111189153WMay 22 · 19:00J. Sucharda1.5781211113M. Volf2.251110661LMay 22 · 18:00L. Krejcik1.91611127123J. Sucharda1.801191011102LApr 12 · 03:00J. Sucharda1.36613421J. Prokupek3.00111111113WApr 12 · 01:30J. Sucharda1.671111123T. Janata2.1067100LApr 12 · 24:30B. Nguyen1.919111011113J. Sucharda1.8011612792
P. Pycha10
LSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372LSep 5 · 02:00R. Krejci2.501211113P. Pycha1.5010350LSep 5 · 24:30P. Pycha1.9151112592T. Janata1.801131011113LSep 4 · 23:00P. Pycha2.0057150S. Kadavy1.731111173WSep 4 · 22:00D. Kouble3.2510750P. Pycha1.331211113LAug 29 · 02:58T. Janata1.9111118113P. Pycha1.80771171WAug 29 · 02:00P. Budinsky2.20771121P. Pycha1.6111118113LAug 29 · 24:30P. Pycha1.91712111482T. Janata1.801114812113LAug 28 · 23:00P. Pycha2.009111111112S. Kadavy1.73111369133LAug 28 · 22:00D. Tuma2.1091111133P. Pycha1.671186111
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