TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #11890129
Played May 16Finished
Marek Chlebecek
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
112811119119––
Tomas Barta
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMarek Chlebecek above · Tomas Barta below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 72 set 4, 11-9
72 points played in total.
H2H Marek Chlebecek 5–3 Tomas Barta Tomas Barta has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Barta)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barta form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChlebecek 1.44 / Barta 2.63
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Barta)+18.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #11890129
Chlebecek1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Barta2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeChlebecek5wins
AwayBarta3wins
3 of 8 to a deciderChlebecek leads 5–3, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChlebecek80%4 of 5
AwayBarta66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chlebecek5Barta3n = 8Chlebecek took 5 of 8
S2Chlebecek3Barta5n = 8Barta took 5 of 8
S3Chlebecek5Barta3n = 8Chlebecek took 5 of 8
S4Chlebecek5Barta1n = 6Chlebecek took 5 of 6
S5Chlebecek1Barta2n = 3Barta took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricChlebecekBartaC − BBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match40.635.6+5.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChlebecekBartaBasisWin rate · lifetime124 / 253 vs 958 / 188249%50.9%124 / 253 vs 958 / 1882Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartaChlebecek 1.44/Barta 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Barta · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chlebecek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LApr 28 · 24:30M. Chlebecek—2T. Barta—3
WMar 9 · 04:30M. Chlebecek—3T. Barta—1
WMar 9 · 03:00M. Chlebecek—3T. Barta—1
WMar 8 · 20:30M. Chlebecek—3T. Barta—1
WMar 7 · 16:30M. Chlebecek—3T. Barta—0
LMar 7 · 14:30M. Chlebecek—2T. Barta—3
LMar 7 · 13:30M. Chlebecek—0T. Barta—3
WFeb 25 · 03:30M. Chlebecek—3T. Barta—2
M. Chlebecek10
WSep 7 · 03:30M. Chlebecek1.9091111123V. Cermak1.801159101WSep 7 · 02:30M. Chlebecek1.5381111113M. Volf2.38114681WSep 7 · 01:30V. Cermak1.73101191182M. Chlebecek2.00129113113WSep 7 · 24:00M. Chlebecek1.731111113M. Sobisek2.006890LSep 6 · 23:00R. Krejci1.911111113M. Chlebecek1.808670LSep 6 · 21:29M. Sobisek2.10121196113M. Chlebecek1.67109111172WSep 6 · 20:00M. Chlebecek2.209111610113V. Cermak1.61116141272WSep 6 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.005811101M. Chlebecek1.7311117123LSep 6 · 18:00M. Chlebecek1.6151060J. Stolfa2.201112113WSep 2 · 03:30M. Regner1.91911681M. Chlebecek1.8011511113
T. Barta10
LMay 16 · 01:00M. Vizek1.6711111112113T. Barta2.1041361442LMay 15 · 23:30T. Barta1.839870D. Kouble1.831111113LMay 15 · 22:00T. Barta3.25611110P. Pycha1.331113133WMay 14 · 03:30T. Barta1.531111113J. Plachy2.387970LMay 14 · 02:30B. Nguyen1.671111113T. Barta2.109580WMay 14 · 01:00P. Fojt2.20311631T. Barta1.6111911113WMay 13 · 23:30T. Barta1.57111111113J. Plachy2.25913831WMay 13 · 22:00T. Barta1.331111113M. Vedmoch3.256670LMay 13 · 13:30T. Vinter1.401181011113T. Barta2.7541112852WMay 13 · 12:30T. Barta1.8381111113B. Nguyen1.83119971
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