TT Lossbeater/ITTF World Team Champs
ITTF World Team ChampsMatch #11818361
Played Apr 29Finished
Aboubaker Bourass
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–6Last 8Lost last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311119117––––
Sergio Carrillo
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
3–1Last 4Won last 3
How it is goingAboubaker Bourass above · Sergio Carrillo below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 62 set 3, 11-7
62 points played in total.
H2H Aboubaker Bourass 1–0 Sergio Carrillo Sergio Carrillo has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Carrillo)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bourass form (0%) is below what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBourass 3.75 / Carrillo 1.25
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Carrillo)+0.0pp
ITTF World Team Champs · #11818361
Bourass3.75
25%won 2 of 8 · last 10
0%takes the first set · 0 of 3
Carrillo1.25
75%won 3 of 4 · last 10
50%takes the first set · 2 of 4
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBourass1wins
AwayCarrillo0wins
Bourass leads 1–0.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBourassCarrilloB − CBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match35.027.0+8.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBourassCarrilloBasisWin rate · lifetime1 / 9 vs 3 / 611.1%50%1 / 9 vs 3 / 6Avg sets wonper match0.41.7per matchAvg pointsper match9.833.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CarrilloBourass 3.75/Carrillo 1.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75%
Carrillo · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bourass won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
W—A. Bourass—3S. Carrillo—0
A. Bourass10
LApr 30 · 16:20Y. Wang1.051111113A. Bourass8.507240LApr 28 · 12:30H. Desai—3A. Bourass—0LMar 25 · 12:30A. Bourass10.004480K. Skachkov1.031111113LMar 24 · 18:30Y. Wang1.0311116113A. Bourass10.00531151LMar 24 · 12:30I. Gunduz1.051111113A. Bourass8.505350LJun 20 · 19:25A. Bourass—0C. Liao—3LMar 18 · 15:10A. Bourass—0E. Glod—3LMar 14 · 14:50J. Masip—3A. Bourass—1WMar 14 · 08:15A. Bourass—3M. Helmy—1WMar 13 · 13:00A. Bourass—3A. Saadawi—1
S. Carrillo10
LJul 7 · 08:00S. Carrillo8.0081111582K. Fadeev1.06117511113WJul 6 · 17:00S. Carrillo6.5012111310123E. Mendes1.101491112102WJul 6 · 15:00S. Carrillo2.2071112113S. Happek1.611171091LJul 6 · 14:00S. Carrillo1.258850C. Schmitt3.751111113LJul 6 · 10:30S. Carrillo7.0091780D. Rinderer1.081119113LJul 6 · 08:30S. Carrillo2.63811691L. Kraus1.4411811113LJul 6 · 06:30S. Carrillo1.521131281T. Saltzer2.30131110113LJun 30 · 08:30O. Kosolosky1.081111113S. Carrillo7.006240LJun 29 · 17:00D. Rinderer1.071111113S. Carrillo7.509130LJun 29 · 15:30S. Carrillo8.0010530K. Fadeev1.061211113
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