TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Jan Krames Jr. vs Lukas Heinzl 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Apr 26Finished
Jan Krames Jr.
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611118811112711
Lukas Heinzl
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingJan Krames Jr. above · Lukas Heinzl below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 86 set 5, 7-11
86 points played in total.
H2H Jan Krames Jr. 17–16 Lukas Heinzl Lukas Heinzl has won 16 of their 33 meetings.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Heinzl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heinzl form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr. 2.10 / Heinzl 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Heinzl)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #11800041
Jr.2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Heinzl1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr.4wins
AwayHeinzl6wins
Heinzl leads 6–4.
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr.6Heinzl4n = 10Jr. took 6 of 10
S2Jr.2Heinzl8n = 10Heinzl took 8 of 10
S3Jr.4Heinzl6n = 10Heinzl took 6 of 10
S4Jr.5Heinzl3n = 8Jr. took 5 of 8
S5Jr.1Heinzl2n = 3Heinzl took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJr.HeinzlJ − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.539.6−2.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJr.HeinzlBasisWin rate · lifetime162 / 330 vs 369 / 66849.1%55.2%162 / 330 vs 369 / 668Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.640.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HeinzlJr. 2.10/Heinzl 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Heinzl · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Heinzl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
W—J. Jr.—3L. Heinzl—1
L—J. Jr.—2L. Heinzl—3
W—J. Jr.—3L. Heinzl—1
L—J. Jr.—3L. Heinzl—0
W—J. Jr.—3L. Heinzl—1
L—J. Jr.—3L. Heinzl—1
L—J. Jr.—3L. Heinzl—0
L—J. Jr.—2L. Heinzl—3
W—J. Jr.—2L. Heinzl—3
L—J. Jr.—3L. Heinzl—1
J. Jr.10
LAug 6 · 20:13J. Jr.1.80871191M. Ullman1.9111116113WJul 15 · 20:43J. Jr.1.671111123R. Durovic2.1067100WJul 11 · 20:44J. Jr.2.1041312113V. Burylov1.6711111071LMay 3 · 12:33J. Jr.1.7391311182R. Pisa2.001111811113WMay 3 · 12:00J. Jr.2.38671111113D. Gasparovic1.5311118792LMay 3 · 10:30R. Pisa2.0081212113J. Jr.1.7311101031LMay 3 · 10:00S. Rejent2.251111113J. Jr.1.575640LMay 2 · 20:39J. Jr.1.73101131192M. Makara2.00126119113LMay 2 · 20:00J. Jr.1.50811581S. Rejent2.5011911113LMay 2 · 18:30M. Makara2.10101111133J. Jr.1.671248111
L. Heinzl10
WSep 10 · 08:23L. Heinzl2.501171211113P. Wasik1.5051114892LSep 10 · 07:15P. Wasik1.571211113L. Heinzl2.2510420LSep 10 · 06:45L. Heinzl1.831261051M. Zelinka1.83101112113WSep 10 · 05:45L. Heinzl2.25111011113L. Dobias1.57812981WSep 8 · 08:48V. Grubr2.25711671L. Heinzl1.5711511113LSep 8 · 07:45L. Heinzl1.611011871V. Grubr2.2012711113WSep 8 · 06:15M. Zelinka1.835980L. Heinzl1.831111113LSep 8 · 05:45L. Dobias1.53111111113L. Heinzl2.38139771LSep 7 · 08:49M. Zelinka1.8311812113L. Heinzl1.839111091LSep 7 · 07:45L. Heinzl1.83551691M. Zelinka1.83111114113
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