TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Radovan Pisa vs Jan Krames Jr. 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played May 3Finished
Radovan Pisa
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
81112101210113––
Jan Krames Jr.
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingRadovan Pisa above · Jan Krames Jr. below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 77 set 4, 11-3
77 points played in total.
H2H Radovan Pisa 12–11 Jan Krames Jr. Jan Krames Jr. has won 11 of their 23 meetings.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Jr.)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr. form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPisa 2.00 / Jr. 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Jr.)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #11834533
Pisa2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Jr.1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePisa6wins
AwayJr.4wins
9 of 10 to a deciderPisa leads 6–4, and 9 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePisa100%4 of 4
AwayJr.66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pisa4Jr.6n = 10Jr. took 6 of 10
S2Pisa3Jr.7n = 10Jr. took 7 of 10
S3Pisa7Jr.3n = 10Pisa took 7 of 10
S4Pisa7Jr.3n = 10Pisa took 7 of 10
S5Pisa5Jr.4n = 9Pisa took 5 of 9
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPisaJr.P − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match48.445.4+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPisaJr.BasisWin rate · lifetime434 / 888 vs 153 / 30048.9%51%434 / 888 vs 153 / 300Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.740.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
Jr.Pisa 2.00/Jr. 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.7%
Jr. · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pisa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 3 · 12:33R. Pisa—3J. Jr.—2
WMay 3 · 10:30R. Pisa—3J. Jr.—1
WApr 2 · 20:14R. Pisa—3J. Jr.—2
LApr 2 · 17:15R. Pisa—2J. Jr.—3
WMar 15 · 09:43R. Pisa—3J. Jr.—2
WMar 15 · 07:15R. Pisa—3J. Jr.—2
LJan 15 · 20:15R. Pisa—2J. Jr.—3
LDec 6 · 06:15R. Pisa—2J. Jr.—3
LOct 14 · 17:45R. Pisa—2J. Jr.—3
WSep 28 · 16:22R. Pisa—3J. Jr.—2
R. Pisa10
WSep 21 · 12:49R. Pisa2.381111113L. Adam1.538530LSep 21 · 11:45R. Pisa2.1051160M. Zelinka1.671113113WSep 21 · 10:15M. Stibor1.739580R. Pisa2.001111113WSep 21 · 09:45L. Adam1.5315560R. Pisa2.381711113LSep 20 · 12:43R. Pisa2.50661181M. Zelinka1.5011116113WSep 20 · 11:45R. Pisa1.671111113M. Makara2.106990LSep 20 · 10:15M. Zelinka1.731111113R. Pisa2.007980WSep 20 · 09:45O. Kaderabek1.91911941R. Pisa1.8011911113LSep 18 · 08:29M. Makara1.9111711123R. Pisa1.808118101LSep 18 · 07:15P. Fencl2.5081111113R. Pisa1.50117991
J. Jr.10
LAug 6 · 20:13J. Jr.1.80871191M. Ullman1.9111116113WJul 15 · 20:43J. Jr.1.671111123R. Durovic2.1067100WJul 11 · 20:44J. Jr.2.1041312113V. Burylov1.6711111071LMay 3 · 12:33J. Jr.1.7391311182R. Pisa2.001111811113WMay 3 · 12:00J. Jr.2.38671111113D. Gasparovic1.5311118792LMay 3 · 10:00S. Rejent2.251111113J. Jr.1.575640LMay 2 · 20:39J. Jr.1.73101131192M. Makara2.00126119113LMay 2 · 20:00J. Jr.1.50811581S. Rejent2.5011911113LMay 2 · 18:30M. Makara2.10101111133J. Jr.1.671248111WMay 2 · 18:00V. Burylov1.73118111182J. Jr.2.00131177113
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