TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Yoan Rebetez vs Thomas Pellny 3-1 · Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TT
Played Apr 16Finished
Yoan Rebetez
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
6111151715118––
Thomas Pellny
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingYoan Rebetez above · Thomas Pellny below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 17-15
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 84 set 4, 11-8
84 points played in total.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rebetez)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pellny form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRebetez 1.50 / Pellny 2.50
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Rebetez)-8.5pp (anti-value)
Challenger Series TT · #11748119
The market does not separate these two
1.50 against 2.50 — a coin flip with a margin on top.
Below 3pp of separation the engine pins the read to 50 ± 4 and then drops the pick. So no percentage is published here — the price is the datum.
Rebetez1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
38%takes the first set · 3 of 8
Pellny2.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricRebetezPellnyBasisWin rate · lifetime21 / 39 vs 9 / 1553.9%60%21 / 39 vs 9 / 15Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.537.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RebetezRebetez 1.50/Pellny 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Rebetez · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Rebetez won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
Y. Rebetez10
WJul 9 · 13:35Y. Rebetez—1111113C. Zapata—6790WJul 8 · 19:30Y. Rebetez—1111113F. Alvarez—4520LJul 8 · 13:40Y. Rebetez—1125111I. Diaw—61111133LMay 16 · 10:45H. Hsu—131311113Y. Rebetez—1115871WMay 15 · 10:30Y. Rebetez—118911133O. Magen—511116112LApr 17 · 11:00Y. Rebetez—101141242G. Alcayde—1271110113WApr 17 · 09:15D. Rinderer1.83116611102Y. Rebetez1.83811117123WApr 17 · 06:30P. Koloidenko2.1011111131Y. Rebetez1.6713136113WApr 16 · 16:30D. Zech5.0019871262Y. Rebetez1.1417111110113LApr 16 · 15:00M. Stefanidis—1111113Y. Rebetez—2760
T. Pellny10
WSep 11 · 10:40M. Stefanidis—4890T. Pellny—1111113LSep 11 · 09:45D. Cheaib1.17101111113T. Pellny4.40126351LSep 11 · 08:30T. Pellny2.50711211M. Henninger1.5011911113WSep 11 · 06:30T. Pellny1.17111497123K. Moosmann4.509121111102WSep 10 · 16:00T. Pellny1.101111113S. Amann6.508960LSep 10 · 12:30T. Pellny1.141111146112D. Zech5.00891611133WSep 10 · 11:00T. Pellny1.331110118143M. Bott3.25512611122WSep 10 · 08:30D. Cheaib1.17150T. Pellny4.50171WSep 10 · 07:00T. Pellny1.66111111113M. Stefanidis2.05813841LJun 23 · 10:44M. Stefanidis1.751111113T. Pellny1.959660
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