TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11758636
Played Apr 17Finished
Daniel Rinderer
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1186116111171012
Yoan Rebetez
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingDaniel Rinderer above · Yoan Rebetez below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 93 set 5, 10-12
93 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Rinderer 1–0 Yoan Rebetez Yoan Rebetez has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rinderer)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rinderer form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRinderer 1.83 / Rebetez 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Rinderer)+3.9pp
Challenger Series TT · #11758636
Rinderer1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
Rebetez1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeRinderer1wins
AwayRebetez0wins
Rinderer leads 1–0.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricRindererRebetezRinderer − RebetezBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match45.044.0+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRindererRebetezBasisWin rate · lifetime122 / 183 vs 25 / 4566.7%55.6%122 / 183 vs 25 / 45Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.535.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RindererRinderer 1.83/Rebetez 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
53.9%
Rinderer · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Rebetez won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
W—D. Rinderer—1Y. Rebetez—3
D. Rinderer10
WAug 21 · 10:30D. Rinderer1.37111210113S. Almeida2.854101261LAug 21 · 09:10M. Danzer1.301112173D. Rinderer3.10610150WAug 21 · 07:50E. Huzsvar1.191114101142D. Rinderer4.40316128113LAug 21 · 07:00D. Rinderer1.1611129872N. Kizakisz4.454101111113WAug 20 · 15:30A. Moreno15.009510D. Rinderer1.011111113LAug 20 · 13:30M. Danzer1.731111113D. Rinderer2.006890WAug 20 · 12:00L. Qiu3.406530D. Rinderer1.301111113WAug 20 · 09:00D. Zech11.006430D. Rinderer1.021111113LAug 20 · 07:00S. Almeida3.60811711123D. Rinderer1.25117115102WJul 24 · 11:15D. Rinderer1.201111113L. Kraus4.009680
Y. Rebetez10
WJul 9 · 13:35Y. Rebetez—1110113C. Zapata—6790WJul 8 · 19:30Y. Rebetez—1111113F. Alvarez—4520LJul 8 · 13:40Y. Rebetez—1125111I. Diaw—61111133LMay 16 · 10:45H. Hsu—131311113Y. Rebetez—1115871WMay 15 · 10:30Y. Rebetez—118911133O. Magen—511116112LApr 17 · 11:00Y. Rebetez—101141242G. Alcayde—1271110113WApr 17 · 06:30P. Koloidenko2.1011111131Y. Rebetez1.6713136113WApr 16 · 16:30D. Zech5.0019871262Y. Rebetez1.1417111110113LApr 16 · 15:00M. Stefanidis—1111113Y. Rebetez—2760LApr 16 · 13:30Y. Rebetez2.20117691G. Alcayde1.6191111113
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