TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11752177
Played Apr 16Finished
Yoan Rebetez
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119711611911––
Guillaume Alcayde
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingYoan Rebetez above · Guillaume Alcayde below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 75 set 4, 9-11
75 points played in total.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Alcayde)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Alcayde form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRebetez 2.20 / Alcayde 1.61
Signal prob.47% / 54%
Edge (Alcayde)-4.2pp (anti-value)
Challenger Series TT · #11752177
Rebetez2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
33%takes the first set · 3 of 9
Alcayde1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricRebetezAlcaydeBasisWin rate · lifetime23 / 41 vs 49 / 7256.1%68.1%23 / 41 vs 49 / 72Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.836.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AlcaydeRebetez 2.20/Alcayde 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
53.5%
Alcayde · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Alcayde won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
Y. Rebetez10
WJul 9 · 13:35Y. Rebetez—1110113C. Zapata—6790WJul 8 · 19:30Y. Rebetez—1111113F. Alvarez—4520LJul 8 · 13:40Y. Rebetez—1125111I. Diaw—61111133LMay 16 · 10:45H. Hsu—131311113Y. Rebetez—1115871WMay 15 · 10:30Y. Rebetez—118911133O. Magen—511116112LApr 17 · 11:00Y. Rebetez—101141242G. Alcayde—1271110113WApr 17 · 09:15D. Rinderer1.83116611102Y. Rebetez1.83811117123WApr 17 · 06:30P. Koloidenko2.1011111131Y. Rebetez1.6713136113WApr 16 · 16:30D. Zech5.0019871262Y. Rebetez1.1417111110113LApr 16 · 15:00M. Stefanidis—1111113Y. Rebetez—2760
G. Alcayde10
WMay 15 · 10:59M. Danzer1.6711117892G. Alcayde2.10921111113WMay 15 · 09:45G. Alcayde1.50312116113M. Scharrer2.50111081192LMay 15 · 08:30M. Danzer1.53851111113G. Alcayde2.3811119882WMay 14 · 17:00S. Happek6.00881161G. Alcayde1.1111115113WMay 14 · 15:30G. Alcayde1.111111133D. Zech6.0088110WMay 14 · 13:00G. Alcayde1.041111113L. Dreykorn9.008680LMay 14 · 11:30M. Scharrer2.381113113G. Alcayde1.5331180WMay 14 · 09:30J. Lama4.33211551G. Alcayde1.2011611113WMay 14 · 07:30M. Gremillion8.50513971G. Alcayde1.05111111113WApr 17 · 11:00Y. Rebetez—101141242G. Alcayde—1271110113
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