Jiri Matus vs Lukas Krupnik Jr · pre-match analysis

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT Cup

Starts Oct 13, 08:10Scheduled

Jiri Matus

Home

1.57

At publish

Lost last 3

3–7Last 10Lost last 3

Head to head

23 – 11

All 34 meetings · 67.6%

Last 10 · 7–3Same side

Lukas Krupnik Jr

Away

2.25

At publish

Won last 4

7–3Last 10Won last 4

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Price verdict

No edge

The price already says it

Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.

Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match WinnerForecastOur read against the price lives in the pick, below

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMatus 1.571 / Krupnik Jr 2.25

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeMatus7wins

AwayKrupnik Jr3wins

5 of 10 to a deciderMatus leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeMatus75%3 of 4

AwayKrupnik Jr33.3%2 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Matus4Krupnik Jr6n = 10Krupnik Jr took 6 of 10

S2Matus5Krupnik Jr5n = 10split evenly

S3Matus7Krupnik Jr3n = 10Matus took 7 of 10

S4Matus4Krupnik Jr4n = 8split evenly

S5Matus4Krupnik Jr1n = 5Matus took 4 of 5

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home440%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricMatusKrupnik JrM − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.439.1+1.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricMatusKrupnik JrBasisWin rate · lifetime250 / 478 vs 266 / 50052.3%53.2%250 / 478 vs 266 / 500Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.340.3per match

TT Cup · #13286926

Matus1.57

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 10)

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite59% won 94 of 160

Up 2–0, closes it91% 42 of 46

Up 1–0, closes it76% 68 of 89

Krupnik Jr2.25

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 10)

Won last 4

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog49% won 89 of 183

Down 0–1, comes back35% 30 of 87

Down 0–2, comes back14% 6 of 42

Jiri Matus vs Lukas Krupnik Jr · TT Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Jiri Matus vs Lukas Krupnik Jr · TT Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary