Petr Chlad vs Jiri Matus · pre-match analysis

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT Cup

Starts 06:10Scheduled

Petr Chlad

Home

1.57

At publish

Won last 3

8–2Last 10Won last 3

Head to head

15 – 5

All 20 meetings · 75.0%

Last 10 · 8–2Same side

Jiri Matus

Away

2.25

At publish

Lost last 3

3–7Last 10Lost last 3

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Price verdict

Caution

Petr Chlad at 1.571

The favourite carries a measured weakness the price does not charge for.

Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match WinnerForecastOur read against the price lives in the pick, below

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsChlad 1.571 / Matus 2.25

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeChlad8wins

AwayMatus2wins

2 of 10 to a deciderChlad leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeChlad66.7%2 of 3

AwayMatus14.3%1 of 7

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Chlad3Matus7n = 10Matus took 7 of 10

S2Chlad9Matus1n = 10Chlad took 9 of 10

S3Chlad6Matus4n = 10Chlad took 6 of 10

S4Chlad7Matus1n = 8Chlad took 7 of 8

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home660%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricChladMatusC − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.935.6+4.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricChladMatusBasisWin rate · lifetime147 / 298 vs 250 / 47849.3%52.3%147 / 298 vs 250 / 478Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.3per match

TT Cup · #13286890

Chlad1.57

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 11 days ago (Oct 02) · back after a break

Won last 3

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite53% won 41 of 78

Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15

Up 1–0, closes it70% 23 of 33

Matus2.25

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 10)

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog47% won 33 of 70

Down 0–1, comes back37% 13 of 35

Down 0–2, comes back22% 4 of 18

Petr Chlad vs Jiri Matus · TT Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Petr Chlad vs Jiri Matus · TT Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary