Denys Pesternikov vs Serhii Rak · pre-match analysis

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Starts Oct 13, 08:55Scheduled

Denys Pesternikov

Home

1.50

At publish

Won last 1

5–5Last 10Won last 1

Head to head

96 – 58

All 154 meetings · 62.3%

Last 10 · 6–4Same side

Serhii Rak

Away

2.50

At publish

Won last 1

3–7Last 10Won last 1

Compare players

Price verdict

Value · Medium

Serhii Rak at 2.50

The underdog is priced longer than what we measure says.

Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match WinnerForecastOur read against the price lives in the pick, below

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsPesternikov 1.50 / Rak 2.50

Round robin · match 10 of 15

0 of 15 played

Group 1 of 3 on the day's ladder

Round robin before this match

Earlier matches of this round robin are still to finish: the table moves as they do.

#	Player	W–L	Sets	To play
=	Denys PesternikovThis match	0–0	0–0	5
=	Denys Shcherbak	0–0	0–0	5
=	Ivan Kozachuk	0–0	0–0	5
=	Ivan Romaniak	0–0	0–0	5
=	Nazar Kovalchuk	0–0	0–0	5
=	Serhii RakThis match	0–0	0–0	5

Rebuilt from the schedule and public results. Only matches that started earlier count.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomePesternikov6wins

AwayRak4wins

4 of 10 to a deciderPesternikov leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomePesternikov57.1%4 of 7

AwayRak33.3%1 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Pesternikov7Rak3n = 10Pesternikov took 7 of 10

S2Pesternikov5Rak5n = 10split evenly

S3Pesternikov6Rak4n = 10Pesternikov took 6 of 10

S4Pesternikov4Rak3n = 7Pesternikov took 4 of 7

S5Pesternikov2Rak2n = 4split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home330%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricPesternikovRakP − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.733.6+6.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricPesternikovRakBasisWin rate · lifetime595 / 1095 vs 559 / 100754.3%55.5%595 / 1095 vs 559 / 1007Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.7per match

Setka Cup · #13286085

Pesternikov1.50

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite67% won 225 of 338

Up 2–0, closes it95% 127 of 134

Up 1–0, closes it82% 182 of 221

Rak2.50

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog30% won 41 of 135

Down 0–1, comes back13% 11 of 83

Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 52

Denys Pesternikov vs Serhii Rak · Setka Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 10 of 15

Round robin before this match

Denys Pesternikov vs Serhii Rak · Setka Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 10 of 15

Round robin before this match