Denys Pesternikov vs Nazar Kovalchuk · pre-match analysis

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Starts Oct 13, 05:55Scheduled

Denys Pesternikov

Home

1.57

At publish

Won last 1

5–5Last 10Won last 1

Head to head

26 – 20

All 46 meetings · 56.5%

Last 10 · 5–5

Nazar Kovalchuk

Away

2.25

At publish

Won last 2

3–7Last 10Won last 2

Compare players

Price verdict

No edge

The price already says it

Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.

Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match WinnerForecastOur read against the price lives in the pick, below

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsPesternikov 1.571 / Kovalchuk 2.25

Round robin · match 4 of 15

0 of 15 played

Group 4 of 20 on the day's ladder

Rematch: Nazar Kovalchuk won 3-0 at 16:25

Round robin before this match

Earlier matches of this round robin are still to finish: the table moves as they do.

#	Player	W–L	Sets	To play
=	Denys PesternikovThis match	0–0	0–0	5
=	Denys Shcherbak	0–0	0–0	5
=	Ivan Kozachuk	0–0	0–0	5
=	Ivan Romaniak	0–0	0–0	5
=	Nazar KovalchukThis match	0–0	0–0	5
=	Serhii Rak	0–0	0–0	5

Rebuilt from the schedule and public results. Only matches that started earlier count.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomePesternikov5wins

AwayKovalchuk5wins

3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomePesternikov57.1%4 of 7

AwayKovalchuk66.7%2 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Pesternikov7Kovalchuk3n = 10Pesternikov took 7 of 10

S2Pesternikov3Kovalchuk7n = 10Kovalchuk took 7 of 10

S3Pesternikov5Kovalchuk5n = 10split evenly

S4Pesternikov4Kovalchuk3n = 7Pesternikov took 4 of 7

S5Pesternikov1Kovalchuk2n = 3Kovalchuk took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricPesternikovKovalchukP − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.937.1+1.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricPesternikovKovalchukBasisWin rate · lifetime595 / 1095 vs 424 / 81654.3%52%595 / 1095 vs 424 / 816Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.9per match

Setka Cup · #13286050

Pesternikov1.57

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite67% won 225 of 338

Up 2–0, closes it95% 127 of 134

Up 1–0, closes it82% 182 of 221

Kovalchuk2.25

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog43% won 47 of 109

Down 0–1, comes back21% 11 of 53

Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31

Denys Pesternikov vs Nazar Kovalchuk · Setka Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 4 of 15

Round robin before this match

Denys Pesternikov vs Nazar Kovalchuk · Setka Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 4 of 15

Round robin before this match