Serhii Kiilo vs Serhii Balabei · pre-match analysis

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Starts 14:00Scheduled

Serhii Kiilo

Home

4.50

At publish

Lost last 7

1–9Last 10Lost last 7

Head to head

8 – 73

All 81 meetings · 9.9%

Last 10 · 1–9Same side

Serhii Balabei

Away

1.17

At publish

Won last 3

5–5Last 10Won last 3

Compare players

Price verdict

No edge

The price already says it

Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.

Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match WinnerForecastOur read against the price lives in the pick, below

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKiilo 4.50 / Balabei 1.166

Round robin · match 5 of 10

4 of 10 played

Group 2 of 18 on the day's ladder

Round robin before this match

#	Player	W–L	Sets	To play
1	Serhii Ponomarenko	2–0	6–1	2
2	Serhii BalabeiThis match	1–0	3–2	3
3	Serhii Kushnirenko	1–1	5–3	2
4	Serhii KiiloThis match	0–1	1–3	3
5	Roman Horokh	0–2	0–6	2

Rebuilt from the schedule and public results. Only matches that started earlier count.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeKiilo1wins

AwayBalabei9wins

2 of 10 to a deciderBalabei leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKiilo33.3%1 of 3

AwayBalabei100%7 of 7

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Kiilo3Balabei7n = 10Balabei took 7 of 10

S2Kiilo1Balabei9n = 10Balabei took 9 of 10

S3Kiilo5Balabei5n = 10split evenly

S4Kiilo2Balabei5n = 7Balabei took 5 of 7

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away440%

0–3Straight, away330%

These 10 meetings

MetricKiiloBalabeiK − BBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.240.2−5.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKiiloBalabeiBasisWin rate · lifetime94 / 360 vs 514 / 99226.1%51.8%94 / 360 vs 514 / 992Avg sets wonper match1.42.0per matchAvg pointsper match34.236.9per match

Setka Cup · #13281567

Kiilo4.50

10%won 1 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 7

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog20% won 30 of 152

Down 0–1, comes back13% 15 of 113

Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 70

Balabei1.17

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 3

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite70% won 189 of 271

Up 2–0, closes it96% 95 of 99

Up 1–0, closes it84% 137 of 163

Serhii Kiilo vs Serhii Balabei · Setka Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 5 of 10

Round robin before this match

Serhii Kiilo vs Serhii Balabei · Setka Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 5 of 10

Round robin before this match